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Amalgamated Financial Corp. (AMAL)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Jan 27, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

0:05 Greetings, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome the Amalgamated Financial Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Earnings Conference Call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, the conference will be opened for questions with instruction to follow at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. 00:26 I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Jason Darby, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Jason Darby

Management

0:35 Thank you, operator. And good morning, everyone. We appreciate your participation in our fourth quarter 2021 earnings call. With me today is Priscilla Sims Brown, President and Chief Executive Officer. As a reminder, a telephonic replay of this call will be available on the Investors section of our website for an extended period of time. Additionally, a slide deck to complement today's discussion is also available on the Investors section of our website. 0:58 Before we begin, let me remind everyone that this call may contain certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We caution investors that actual results may differ from the expectations indicated or implied by any such forward-looking statements or information. Investors should refer to slides 2 of earnings slide deck, as well as our 2020 10-K filed on March 15, 2021, for a list of risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such statements. 1:30 Additionally, during today’s call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation, or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with the US GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release, as well as on our website. 1:50 Let me now turn the call over to Priscilla.

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

01:52 Thank you, Jason, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate your time and interest today. This morning, I will share a few highlights of our fourth quarter 2021 results as well as provide an update on our strategic plan designed to deliver sustained and profitable organic growth, the early signs of which can be seen in our results this quarter. Jason will then provide an update on our pending acquisition of Amalgamated Bank of Chicago and conclude with a more in depth review of our fourth quarter financial results. 2:23 To start early results clearly highlight the potential that exists within Amalgamated as we execute on our strategic plan. Along these lines, there are four key points that I would like you to take away from this morning's call. First, we delivered a 6.2% net loan growth, not including PACE assessments, compared to the linked quarter, as our early focus on driving loan growth during the second half of ‘21 has started to take hold. 2:54 Second, we recruited a talented and experienced leader for our commercial real estate business, to manage our team and lending platform, protect our existing book of business, improve credit quality and gain new Share. Third, we grew deposits 2% from the linked quarter, while our political deposit franchise held steady at $1 billion, which exceeded our expectations given the natural contraction that we typically experienced following an election. 3:26 Our cost of deposits also held steady at 9 basis points. Fourth, we took important and necessary steps and began as early as in the second half of 2021 to further improve the credit quality of our loan portfolio. As a result, during the quarter we saw our non-accrual loans declined by $17.3 million to $28.2 million or 85 basis points of total loans and…

Jason Darby

Management

9:26 Thank you, Priscilla. We're pleased ABOC’s financial performance which has been in line with our expectations for the year. We are also seeing ABOC loan growth to the fourth quarter which validates our expectations from the acquisition. Well, we already have found that ABOC has a deep relationships with their customers and a larger balance sheet will provide immediate lending opportunities that are very attractive, longer-term, we see an opportunity to export our lending expertise and sustainability and other mission driven segments to the ABOC client base in geographic market, which we expect will expand ABOC lending reach and help to accelerate long growth as we looked at the second half of 2022. 10:03 Turning to our fourth quarter results, net income was $15.9 million, or $0.50 per diluted share, compared to $14.4 million, or $0.46 per diluted share for the third quarter of 2021, representing an 8.7% increase in earnings per share. The $1.5 million increase was primarily due to a $3.7 million increase in net interest income and a $5.7 million increase in non-interest income. These increases were partially offset by a $2 million increase in non-interest expense, of which $0.9 million was related to the pending ABOC acquisition as well as a $3.6 million provision expense compared to a $2.3 million provision recovery in the preceding quarter. 10:46 Starting on Slide 7, deposits at December 31, 2021, were $6.4 billion, an increase of $131.8 million from the third quarter of 2021, an increase of $1.1 billion as compared to December 31, 2020. Non-interest bearing deposits represent 52% of deposits for the quarter ended December 31, 2021, contributing to an average cost of deposits of 9 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2021, unchanged from the previous quarter. 11:14 Deposits held by politically active customers such…

Operator

Operator

17:31 Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. Thank you. Our first question comes from Alex Twerdahl with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

18:13 Good morning.

Jason Darby

Management

18:14 Good morning.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

18:16 First off, I wanted to ask Priscilla, in your prepared remarks you talked about the immediate focus for 2022 is adding lenders, I was just wondering, how many lenders do you have in mind to add and, help us contextualize a little bit sort of what, how that would compare to the existing number of lenders on the in the company?

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

18:40 Sure. First of all, I think I would characterize it as also just rationalizing the community that we currently have. So I think, do you have handy Jason, the number of lenders that we, the actual number of lenders that we have?

Jason Darby

Management

19:00 I don't have any of the actual number of lenders, but what I can comment on is sort of, on a run rate basis, we already did net add in the core, in the fourth quarter of six months. And they're not just necessarily lenders, Alex, we're looking to add producers. We're also looking to add support folks in the underlying portfolio management. I think our key hires right now, which we talked about the third quarter was really stressing that CRE and multifamily – multifamily space and were able to hire a leader for that area and also an additional banker that came in, when we talked about – we talked about going forward, I'm sorry, so we are trying to something…

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

19:43 Yes, I just wanted to add, I just wanted that put a finer point on the specific number of lenders. I think we're up plus seven in the plan. So we would intend to add a net of seven.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

20:04 Awesome. And I presume that'll be over the course of the year. And I'm just wondering, certainly adding the lenders and the support staff is certainly going to come with some expense, what kind of expense guide is incorporated in that, in that guidance that he gave for 2022?

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

20:22 So, Jason, I'll make a quick comment, and then turn it over to you. As you know, we talk a lot and monitor the expense ratio of the efficiency ratio and we are committed to keeping that at 65. And so expenses per quarter at $34.5, with revenue offset, will enable us to achieve that efficiency ratio. Jason, do you have anything to add to that?

Jason Darby

Management

20:49 Yes, I think that that's well said, I mean, we have a guardrail, you know, Alex, for, higher than 65% core efficiency ratio, much of our staffing strategy is tethered to the growth in the net interest income, and more specifically, growth in the related to the lending areas. So investments we're going to make are going to be kind of managed along the productivity and the profitability that's being derived from that business. When I think about potential investment, I would expect our salaries line is going to – is going to increase, and we've held fairly steady at about $72.5 million, we see at least, $500,000 of incremental per quarter when we start to think about challenge overall, but certainly lending is going to make up a significant portion of that.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

21:44 Great, and it just, I wanted to drill in, on the rate guidance that you gave Jason, I think it's a 25 basis points, close to $6 million of NII, can you help us get to the components of that and just remind us how much of the loan portfolio is variable that should reprice with hikes? And then my assumption is that you keep the deposit data and those and that guide is pretty close to zero .

Jason Darby

Management

22:07 Yes, I mean, the guy, I guess the first thing is the guidance just assumes that it's a parallel rage shift, and that everything – everything shifts are all these shipped at the same time. So I didn't really go through and the guidance and get a blended in our variable and our fixed rate, if that, if that helps us kind of be a little bit more general in my terms there. And the $6 million really kind of would be assuming that would – the rate would adjust over the course of an entire year. So depending on when rates actually adjust and when, when we start to realize that incremental benefit, I mean, that $6 million would be realized over time. And, I don't have a – I don't have any more specifics really to offer on that other than that sort of how we did the estimate.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

22:50 Okay, thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

Operator

22:55 Thank you. Our next question comes from Janet Lee with JPMorgan, please proceed with your question.

Janet Lee

Analyst · JPMorgan, please proceed with your question.

23:03 Hello. I just want to follow up on NII guidance, and I want to make sure that I understand the underlying assumptions correctly. So when you say no change in rate target, but you also say a parallel ship. Are you, are you assuming zero rate hikes through the end of 2022 or am I – am I confusing, am I being confused with your guidance?

Jason Darby

Management

23:30 Yes, sorry. Sorry. If it's confusing me, the guidance is assuming no rate hikes, right. So based on our growth assumptions, and our balance sheet mix, assuming no change in rates, we'd come in between 184 and 182, depending on how we hit our targets, with the parallel rates or the shock that I was just referring to, those numbers would move incrementally higher, and I think I didn't answer the question properly on the . your deposit beta, we're assuming that as relatively unchanged, but the .

Janet Lee

Analyst · JPMorgan, please proceed with your question.

24:07 Right. Got it. So if we bake in the current for curve that assumes about four rate hikes through the end of 2022. Can we roughly think that, that would add, $6 million annualized time? Like, four or that? That's what…

Jason Darby

Management

24:25 I mean, yes. So that's the basic math with that, obviously, those breakouts all happen on day one of the they all virtue, that's the way we would generally think about it, yes.

Janet Lee

Analyst · JPMorgan, please proceed with your question.

24:38 Got it. It makes sense and on loan growth guidance. So you've basically sort of raised your loan growth target for 2022, I believe last quarter, you said mid-to-high single digit growth now high single digits. What is the change over there, what are that made you to become more out optimistic about your loan growth? And can you just walk us through where you expect most growth to come from?

Jason Darby

Management

25:08 Certainly. Priscilla, do you want to take the front end of that question on the…

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

25:13 Yes, yes, I'd be happy to. And it's a little bit of what we've talked about Janet, thanks for the question. So, we, we, we, I am personally very happy with our sales leadership and our sales team. We've already begun to execute well, on the strategy. You heard us talk about the new hire – hires. But I like the way we're organizing the team, we think we'll get that high single digit loan growth, because of the strength of the pipeline that we see and the and the talent we've brought on, and we'll see it in CRE, we'll see it in multifamily. We'll see it in sustainability and the other impact areas. So we see nice, pipeline and all of these areas.

Jason Darby

Management

26:01 Yes, and I'll add to that, the growth we saw this quarter, we're really happy about it, some of this timing, we'd love to have a little bit of that pull through in the third quarter. But it did come through in the fourth quarter for us and so that was really nice. I don't think we're going to grow at a 6% per quarter basis, but to facilitate points, the pipeline looks really stable, right? I mean, we spent a lot of time in the second half of the year, kind of reinvigorating the sales process, making sure we fail to close cycle, what our bankers are doing, what they're focused on from a productivity point of view and we're starting to see that in a longer pipeline that, that we can start to count on and forecast a little bit better. I think that's the first thing. The other thing Janet, maybe your question is, we're seeing growth across kind of multiple areas, it's not all concentrated, and Priscilla touched on it a bit. But even in the quarter alone, our on our consumer side, consumer solar was up about $45 million, or 20%. And we've got some new flow arrangements, when there's a with existing providers to our capacity there. So we have some good optimism and growth going forward with that, in the C&I space, mainly, our sustainability can be a key driver, we were able to close a $36 million solar tax deal, which, we're really happy about. And then you've got some increases going on now in our sustainability in CDFI type lending. So, again, those are different segments within that C&I impact lending that we feel are real opportunities going forward. And then I think, again, what Priscilla talked about, starting to move, and then also on the multifamily side, that's been an area where it's been in real decline. And we're already actually starting to see things in the pipeline from the new folks that we've brought in. So that gives us the cost drop, and we're trying to keep it measured, right? We don't want to get ahead of ourselves. But we do think that we're in a spot where we can keep building on this momentum. Q – Janet Lee: 28:02 Okay, that's, that's really helpful. And just to follow-up on your NII guidance of everything that was 184 to 192 for 2022, you've obviously decrease your cap quite a bit. In the fourth quarter, what level of cash are you assuming for your guidance? And, and how should we think about trajectory of NIM over the course of 2022?

Jason Darby

Management

28:30 Yes, so, cash, it's a bit of a mix, right, our overall balance sheet growth is only about 5%. But then, when you think about kind of the loan growth targets, exceeding the balance sheet growth, the obvious function is decreasing cash. So we're targeting, you know, $100 million of cash in terms of kind of a year-end balance, well, we'll manage to that over the course of the year. But that's sort of where we're trying to go. So there's a little bit of overall balance sheet growth that's baked into our model, but also a little bit of mix shifting to be able to, to kind of deploy out of that cash and into loan, the loan development for the drivers. I'm sorry, did I answer the whole question. I might have missed the ?

Janet Lee

Analyst · JPMorgan, please proceed with your question.

29:17 It’s the trajectory of the NIM.

Jason Darby

Management

29:20 Oh, yes.

Janet Lee

Analyst · JPMorgan, please proceed with your question.

29:21 at the bottom is again.

Jason Darby

Management

29:23 Yes, I think, again, I think the trajectory, I focus a little bit more on growing the, on growing the NII, just mainly because that's that sort of drops right into the revenue line. But on the margin side, I do think, we're at the, we're at a plateau level and again, I'm not really thinking even as much as you know, what would happen to our margin on more just a shift from, from low interest earning cash and, and sort of short-term low interest earning securities into more, meaningful yields within the loan within the loan portfolio. So I do see, we do hope that we'll have a rising NIM that's complemented by the increase in the NII go along with that.

Janet Lee

Analyst · JPMorgan, please proceed with your question.

30:08 Okay. Thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

Operator

30:13 Our next question comes from the Chris O’Connell with KBW. Please proceed with your question. Chris O’Connell: 30:29 Good morning.

Jason Darby

Management

30:32 Good morning, Chris. Chris O’Connell: 30:34 Trying to start off on the growth this quarter. Obviously, really strong across the board here. Just wondering was there any purchases or snick or participations kind of involved in the loan growth this quarter? Or would you kind of characterize it as all organic?

Jason Darby

Management

30:59 There's a fair amount of purchase, you know, but what I'm more happy that is actually a fair amount of work as well. Well, so, I think if I were to roughly break it out, probably be about 60% of that would be organic and 40% would be in a purchase type of capacity. Again, some of this is historical, it's not like we went out and bought, new packages just to kind of settle among budgets and more development of existing relationships, like this consumer flow that I talked about before, we've been able to increase that capacity and that was about $45 million growth this quarter, we did have a, a multi, sorry, a warehouse participation that we – that we did this quarter as well, which added a little bit of growth. That's not what I would just call organic. But outside of that, and I think we've had a decent mix of kind of the way we've tried to manage liquidity through the purchasing, and also, a jumpstart in order to kind of continue until we have our impact, organic lending. Chris O’Connell: 32:05 Great. That's helpful. And then appreciate, the slide and, the guidance on the tax credit investments going forward here for 2022. Just wondering, where do you guys see the tax rates shaking out for the year?

Jason Darby

Management

32:26 On a – on an effective tax return, are you talking about . Chris O’Connell: 32:29 Yes. Yes, we've got it, we marked right now. It was about . That's what we're projecting for ATR. And, I think last year, we were pretty close to that we had a little bit of a return provision adjustment that flows through in the fourth quarter that was related to some of the early solar tax initiatives that we that we kind of first got into in 2020. But I think now that we have kind of a full understanding of how to manage those investments, I think our tax rates have remained very consistent throughout 2022. Chris O’Connell: 33:07 Great. And then as you guys were kind of looking at the asset growth for 2022, it seems like, loan growth should be strong and cash coming down, how are you thinking about the overall securities book, kind of fill in the gap there? And then, the split between kind of PACE versus more normal securities?

Jason Darby

Management

33:31 Yes. So we'll continue to use securities portfolio to deploy excess liquidity, we also have some, some resell agreements out there. In the short run, while we develop and continue to, to book loans, but I think when we think about the rest of the year, we actually are hopeful that the AFS portion of our securities portfolio comes down a bit, if all of our projecting sort of worked out the way we want, we'll be able to trade out a little bit of some of the shorter-term securities that we've been in to try to take some yield. And that wouldn't necessarily be a bad thing. Obviously, trading into higher yielding loan rates, but then on the flip side, we do see another $160 million, $170 million of net growth in the PACE world. And that's a combination of our see PACE, and our PACE. So I think overall securities would be up, slide that $75 million, but the mix would be, a rundown on the AFS and in a ramp up of the HTM, which contains the PACE securities. Chris O’Connell: 34:39 Okay, great, that's helpful. And then how are you guys looking at are already kind of expecting, for political deposit growth going forward? Bounces are more or less flat this quarter? And it seems to be, up a little bit to start off the year.

Jason Darby

Management

35:04 Yes, so, political deposits this year, obviously, we're going to be coming into a congressional election year, we're actually predicting somewhere in the range of $500 million of additional deposits that we're going to be generating as a political business, between this – really this quarter and the end of the third quarter, and then we expect a subsequent runoff of that fourth quarter of about $600 million. So, we think we're going to end up, probably around $900 million On a baseline basis, kind of going forward with political deposits, which, continues to sort of grow that fundamental core of the political deposits, but there will be some lumpiness in our deposit growth during the first few quarters of this year as the election cycle ramps up. Chris O’Connell: 35:59 Okay, that's, that's helpful. Thank you. And then last question for me is just how are you guys thinking about, the trend of the reserve to loans going forward?

Jason Darby

Management

36:15 In terms of the overall coverage ratio? Chris O’Connell: 36:19 Yes, exactly.

Jason Darby

Management

36:20 Yes. Okay. So, so right now, I actually think we're in a good spot, I think we finished at one away, somewhere in that 110 to 115 range is probably, good guidance. I think 115 would probably be more where we would end up, again, just a reminder, we're not a CECL adopter yet. So there's potential for us to have a bit of a reserve build throughout this year, as we start to model out what the CECL impact would be for us. But in general, kind of where we are right now, from a coverage ratio, I like where we're at. I love the kind of the new ratios relative to our coverage on non-performers and non-accrual loans. So, I think we'll, we'll manage to that number. The best we can, and particularly, it's functional to loan growth, right. So if we have loan growth, then, we ought to see incremental increases in the allowance. But from a coverage point of view, I think ranging it between 110, 115 is probably a good – a good estimate. Chris O’Connell: 37:23 Okay, great. That's all I had. Thank you.

Jason Darby

Management

37:28 Welcome.

Operator

Operator

37:33 Thank you. There are no further questions at this time, I'd like to turn the floor back over to management for any closing remarks.

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

37:40 Great, thank you, operator and Janet, Alan (ph), Chris, for your questions. And the questions that I'm sure will come throughout the day. We do appreciate your time, and we appreciate your continued interest. We think that we have the opportunity to really build – continue to build momentum from here. I've been speaking with many of our customers about emerging strategies for our loan and trust business, and about the acquisition of ABOC. And I've seen that's been met with a lot of enthusiasm and genuine interest on their part as well. So, we talked about doing good for more customers and developing new customer relationships that we can offer those same mission driven services too, we think it's pretty exciting. 38:26 There's also just a real energy around where we're headed from here and I trust you'll continue to follow us and join us on the journey. I look forward to coming back to you next quarter and talking to you about the early results of implementing new strategies. More details on incorporating ABOC into the Amalgamated family and about the other initiatives that we look forward to share with you at that time. 38:48 Thank you again for your time and we look forward to continuing the dialogue.

Operator

Operator

38:55 This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.