Michael Franco
Analyst · Citi. Please go ahead
Thank you, Steve. Good morning everyone. I too hope you’re all safe and healthy. Jumping to our earnings. Our earnings for this quarter reflect a number of items, all of which were known or should have been known and expected. Second quarter FFO and adjusted was $0.55 per share compared to $0.91 for last year’s second quarter, a decrease of $0.36. This decrease was reconcile for you in our earnings release, on Page 5 and in our financial supplement on Page 8. A little color on couple of these numbers. First, you’ve had some bankruptcies, which should not be a surprise in this environment. In particular J. C. Penney’s which has been on the brink for years now. We have no bone to pick with Penny’s. Over the past 11 years they have paid us $200 million in rent and then had more, but we do have a $20 million a hole to fill here. We have activity and interest for this property, it could be for retail, or it could even be for the last mile distribution, the hottest business in the country. The J.C. Penney and New York & Company bankruptcies were the lion’s share of the write-offs in the quarter, which aggregated $45.1 million or $0.22 per share, but of which $36.3 million was for non-cash write-offs receivables, arising from the straight lining of rents and $8.8 million was for bad debts. Second, as we had specifically guided on our first quarter call, we call our variable businesses, which include Hotel Pennsylvania, BMS and cleaning, signage and trade shows, came in as we had predicted down $9 million per month or $27 million for the quarter, that’s $0.13. When life returns to normal or almost normal, we expect these businesses to snap back with the prior financial performance. Cutting through these items though, our core office business was essentially flat. Non-comparable items in the second quarter were disclosed in the press release on July 20th, a little color on the largest one, we recognized a $305.9 million non-cash impairment loss on our investment in Fifth Avenue and Times Square retail joint venture. This comes a little more than a year after we recognized a $2.56 billion net gain on the April 2019 transferred to the joint venture and related GAAP required write-off of our retained interest in these assets, to the deal price, which was fair value. This should also not be surprise since the general feeling is that these assets are worth less today than they were then. We ended the quarter with New York occupancy at 96.4% and New York retail at 83.6% handling J.C. Penney at Manhattan Mall estate. Now, turning to leasing markets. Given the uncertainty of the trajectory of the pandemic, as might be expected, there is limited albeit some new leasing activity throughout our three markets, as most companies take a wait and see posture to see what the impact of their business and employees ultimately will be. The vast preponderance of office tenants are opting to renew their leases rather than uproot organization and spend money building out new space. That being said, tours have picked up a bit in New York in the past few weeks and we are responding to several new major tenant requirements. Evidence that CEO still need the office that’s integral to operating their businesses and New York City as a deep and unique reservoir account. In addition, certain large companies in our portfolio had a positive renewal discussions at the offset of the crisis have now pick them back up, as they focus again on future and have the confidence that they need the same amount of space on a long term basis. But to emphasize at point that Steve made earlier, the trend of users wanting to be in the best product with the most modern amenities and healthiest environments will only accelerate coming out of this health crisis. Importantly, as the market recovers from the COVID pandemic, our New York office expires through the end of 2022 are modest and pertaining wells for stability of our cash flow, amounting to only 1.8 million square feet, or a 10% of our portfolio, and average of only 4% per year at a weighted average expiring rent of only $76.53 per square foot. The retail environment is very difficult and this crisis is accelerating to shake out the weak and poorly capitalized retailers. J.C. Penney, Neiman Marcus, J. Crew, Brooks Brothers and so on. We’ve taken our share of hits, just like all the other retail landlords. Most retailers are focused on survival and few are focused on opening new stores. Though a few strong and healthy ones, as evidenced by our recent deal we Target on the upper east side. Ultimately, retailers need physical locations and the best locations including the high streets of Manhattan will survive and thrive, but it will take some time through the pain of getting to the other side. For sure though, that our current stock price, the worse, the retail has been more than the what they are pricing. The city reopening for construction in mid-June, our development efforts have resumed in The Penn District. At Farley, we are targeting a December opening on the Moynihan Train Hall, along with some limited retail openings, and first delivery of office space in January 2021. Retail demand is strong here given the expected deal that we cracked. Farley and Moynihan in PENN 2 are the center point of our vision to transform Penn District, the new epicenter of New York. Where we will be delivering for tenants cutting edge, next generation health and wellness environments, amenities and services unmatched everywhere. Even during the shutdown, the reactions in the brokerage community and multiple perspective tenants for our PENN 2 Basel design has been outstanding and we are confident, this is exactly what tenants want to see as we emerge in the post COVID world. As we have said before, these three large Penn District projects are debt-free and are being funded off of our balance sheet, including the aforementioned proceeds in 220 Central Park South course. As these projects are completed and leased up, they will generate large accretive earnings. Beyond our developments broader district improvements continue to progress also. The 33rd Street Long Island Rail Road entrance is almost complete and on schedule to open this December, adding another signature elements to the district and improving the experience for commuters. Turning to the capital markets, they have basically been on hold for the past few months, as lenders and investors assess the viruses impact on the economy and real estate. The real estate financing markets are beginning to heels, the lenders are still into react mode and highly selective in what they finance. Spreads are wider and terms more conservative though the base rate is down, all-in coupons are still very attractive. As always the [Indiscernible] opens with a focus on our high-quality assets and sponsors, which we benefit from. We think over the next 12 to 18 months they’ll start to become a borrowers’ market with rate that historic lows. With the Fed pumping liquidity in the system and planning to remain accommodative until the economy recovers, interest rates are likely to remain low for as long as the eye can see. This should make the yields on assets of long duration leases with increasingly attractive investors, particularly in relation to fixed income, spurring them off the sidelines, and maybe even result in cap rate compression, given the spread of traders. Lastly, our management teams has been thinking a lot lately about the future of cities. Nothing is certain, but for hundreds of years, cities have endured as a central gathering places for work, living and culture and that cradles a creativity and innovation, we believe this will continue to be the case. New York is the world city, and notwithstanding a few bumps along the way New York will continue to drive. With that, I’ll turn it over the operator for Q&A.