David Greenbaum
Analyst · Citi
Steve, thank you, and good morning to everyone. As in our last few calls, I'll start by offering some thoughts on the market and then dive deeper into our third quarter activity. Let me first start with the critical employment measure we track. Office using employment which had 14,000 new jobs through the third quarter is well within the range we like to see of 10,000 to 15,000 annually that we estimate is needed to absorb the new supply coming online over the next 5 years. The story for this year continues to be one of the strong growth in professional and business services as well as a resurgence in financial services employment, which in the third quarter, finally reached its pre-financial crisis level. Some of these jobs were offset by a very modest decline in tammy jobs. That is not to say however that tech employment in the city is dropping. All signs point to continued growth in technology positions within non-tech companies. As I discussed last quarter, when it comes to pursuing talent, both new and old industries are converging on the same group of people driving century-old companies such as Aetna, Allstate and ConAgra to creative class buildings that can better attract talented young professionals. A recent report by the State Controller estimates that out of 240,000 technology jobs in New York City, over 46% or 112,000 jobs are tech jobs in traditional companies from retail to healthcare to insurance and to banking, and there is reason to anticipate continued strong growth in the years ahead, including with the recent opening of the Cornell Tech campus on Roosevelt Island. That's just one of an array of city, state and university efforts that are underway. On the market leasing front, performance has been robust through the third quarter. You can see this in the tone of all of the brokerage reports. JLL's most recent report is entitled "Strength on Manhattan's West side drives leasing higher and vacancy lower." And Cushman & Wakefield, the state "The market office performed well in the third quarter of 2017 highlighted by an uptick in leasing and positive absorption." Total leasing in Manhattan reached 9.4 million square feet in the third quarter. With year-to-date total leasing now at 30.6 million square feet, continuing on track to approach the record leasing year of 2014, when city-wide, 42 million feet of leases were completed. Overall vacancy improved 20 basis points to 9%. Average asking rents in Manhattan approached $73 per square foot. Absorption was a positive 2.3 million square feet and sublease space declined by 6.2%. With major new lease commitments by BlackRock, Amazon and Accenture in Hudson Yards in Manhattan West, we believe our assets in Penn Plaza with its unrivaled transit access, both our existing buildings and our development opportunities continue to become more and more valuable. Let me now turn to our portfolio where we had a very strong third quarter. We remain full with our office occupancy up 30 basis points to 97%. We leased over 450,000 square feet of office space in the quarter in 33 transactions. With average starting rents of $83 a foot, the quarter reflects both the quality of our assets and the breadth of our multi-tenant portfolio. 100,000 square feet of our leasing activity or 22% was at triple-digit numbers, and at One Penn Plaza we achieved $70 average starting rents, a new record. While our TIs and leasing commissions were on the high side that is in large part a reflection of the average lease term which approached 10 years. Our mark-to-markets remained strong; 11.9% GAAP and 11.2% cash. These mark-to-markets are a result of the success of their redevelopment efforts. Over the past 5 years since the start of 2013, mark-to-markets in our office portfolio have averaged 18% GAAP and 13% cash. Our same-store numbers in the office portfolio also remained industry-leading during the third quarter at 7.1% GAAP and 13.5% cash. As with our mark-to-markets, our same-store performance has remained at an industry-leading level over an extended period of time. Since 2013, again for 5 years, we have averaged same-store growth of 4.6% GAAP and 7.7% cash. In Penn Plaza, work is now well underway to transform the Farley building into the dramatic Moynihan trail hall with 730,000 square feet of best-in-class creative office space on unique floor plates and 120,000 square feet of ancillary retail space. In mid-August, the Governor Cuomo celebrated the start of major construction in the cavernous space that will become the train hall, where our construction partner Skanska has been busy cutting openings down to Penn station's platforms for the new escalators and elevators. From the street, you can see the 2 cranes building the soaring skylights that enclose the newly 100 foot high main train hall. We have begun to introduce the office space to tenants and brokers and the early response has been a wow, as you would expect, for an asset as unique as this one. Imagine the reaction we get when we take the people upon to the roof and show them the potential for a 50,000 square foot outdoor roof deck amenity space in the heart of Manhattan. It's truly spectacular. As you would expect, the Farley building was front and center in our submission to the city for inclusion in the city's proposal to host Amazon's HQ2 headquarters. We pointed out that Farley could accommodate Amazon's near-term needs with significant room to grow in the existing buildings and development sites we own in the Penn Plaza district. We were pleased to see in the public materials that the city released, Midtown West anchored by Penn Plaza was front and center in the proposal to Amazon. The city noted that the area is accessible by 15 subway lines, 4 commuter rail lines and Amtrak, with direct connectivity in place or planned to all 3 regional airports. With Amazon already having committed to 800,000 square feet in 2 sites that bookend our Penn Plaza holdings, 450,000 square feet at our own 7 West 34th Street, and an additional 360,000 square feet in Manhattan West across the street from Farley; weather New York wins the HQ2 race or not, Amazon will have a long-term significant presence in the district for years to come. With the end of the year approaching, we have a negligible amount of 2017 office lease expirations remaining. At 97% occupancy, we are full. Our single largest block of space currently available is 70,000 square feet in One Penn Plaza. We see a relatively quiet fourth quarter as Glenn and his team continue to address our lease explorations of 950,000 square feet in 2018 and 775,000 square feet in 2019. Over a third of our lease expirations over the next 2 years are concentrated in One Penn Plaza where we are now finalizing our plans for the total redevelopment and modernization of this asset, including a new lobby, store fronts, plazas, amenity spaces, and state-of-the-art infrastructure. We have a proven formula for repositioning our assets. Just look at our track record at 90 Park Avenue, 280 Park Avenue, 1290 6th Avenue, 330 West 34th Street, and theMART, to just name a few. We expect to commence this redevelopment of One Penn Plaza next summer. Turning to our irreplaceable high street retail business. As Steve mentioned, the highlight of our activity has been the completion of a 16,000 square feet flagship lease with Sephora at 1535 Broadway at the heart of the bowtie in Time Square. We also are in final drafts for another flagship lease with a major national retailer for the remaining 12,000 square feet at 1535. The balance of our retail leasing activity for the third quarter related to the renewal of 2 leases in the base of our office buildings, not what we would call "high street retail." At cash mark-to-markets of a positive 2.5%, but as Steve mentioned, with a negative 20.5% GAAP mark-to-market, solely attributable to a FAS 141 purchase price adjustment that was made back in 2007. Our same-store numbers for our street retail business for the quarter were a strong positive 13.8% cash and a flattish negative 0.6% GAAP. Let me now turn to theMART in Chicago where our leasing continues to benefit from our development efforts over the last several years. During the third quarter, we entered into a 36,000 square feet of office and showroom leases at average starting rent exceeding $54 a foot. These leases represented mark-to-markets of 36.4% GAAP and 23.1% cash. Occupancy stands at 98% for the showroom and retail space and over 99% for office, demonstrating the extraordinary depth for space by existing tenant seeking to expand and new tenants looking to join our blue chip roster. As a result, we are in the process of taking back an additional 40,000 square feet of showroom space from the apparel tenants on the 9th floor in order to create more best-in-class office space. Our same-store numbers at theMART for the third quarter were positive 11.3% GAAP and 17% cash. Similar to our industry-leading numbers for our New York performance, looking back over the last 5 years since 2013, our average mark-to-markets at theMART has been 22.7% GAAP and 14.8% cash. That's an average for the last 5 years. Our average same-store growth at theMART over the past 5 years has been even more extraordinary at 8.9% on a GAAP basis and 8.8% cash. Let me repeat that one more time. At theMART, our same-store increases both on a GAAP and a cash basis have averaged around 9% per annum for each of the last 5 years. While it was a quite quarter at 555 California Street, we were active at the adjacent 315 Montgomery Street building. Last quarter, I told you that we had 2 leases out for 5 floors, representing 60,000 square feet. We completed those deals during the third quarter at $72 starting rents. 315 Montgomery, a historical building with good volumes in a great location just a few years back was a Class B building with rents only $35 to $40 per square foot. Having completed our modernization of the 315 building earlier this year, we have now leased a total of 7 floors this year. We have just 3 floors left to complete our lease-up of this asset and we are in term sheets for negotiation for all of this space. Let me just conclude by saying our strong leasing performance in the third quarter is a reflection of both the continued health of our markets as well as a portfolio that is largely renovated and concentrated in the growth areas of the city. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Joe.