Jeff Brown
Analyst · Goldman Sachs.
Sure. Jenn, you want me to start? Yes. So, on the OEM point, yes we have been fairly vocal on this for a while. I mean first, you had the impacts and implications of COVID and factory shutdowns. And so already, we are running pretty light inventories. And then, there has been a variety of factors that have kind of exacerbated problems here. Chip shortages, trucking shortages, Texas weather events, and it’s pretty amazing how some of these kinks in the supply chain can really further disrupt. And so, production is slowly starting to improve, but similar to Jenn’s last comments on capital, I think it’s going to take a while before this really gets normalized. So, I suspect we are at or around the bottom on floor plan, but I don’t see balances really meaningfully rising until probably the back half of this year at best. So, that’s probably one of the weak points overall right now, it’s a bit out of our control. But obviously, as we are pointing out, this leads to really strong used car markets. And obviously, we have been originating north of 50% in used for quite some time here. And so, I think our positioning in the business is holding really well. But it’s going to take some time before inventory gets back up. And I do also think bright spot is consumers want to spend. I mean production is hitting dealer lots. And in fact, I was on the phone yesterday with Rick Hendrick and talking through kind of what they are experiencing in new cars that hit any other dealers. And Rick has got about 100 stores. I mean they are selling within a day or two. And so, you have got this slow production but pretty vicious and aggressive demand out of consumers. So, it’s just going to take a while for things to normalize there. But as you pointed out, some of the growth businesses are being a nice offset to that, and I think as we do look at, it’s been a pretty aggressive refi environment and mortgage environment. But as Jenn highlighted, we feel like we have got a path to really ramp up originations there. So, there are certainly offsets in the balance sheet that can enable us to continue to grow. Jenn, what else would you want to highlight?