Ron Robinson
Analyst · Piper Jaffray. Please go ahead
Thank you, Dan. And you know we're obviously pleased with our first quarter results. It's always good to start a new year, new fiscal year off on a positive note and I think you know once again demonstrated our ability to turn a small growth in top line performance into a much stronger increase in bottom line performance. We certainly did this in the first quarter in a big way. It was a quarter where operationally a lot of things went right and not much went wrong. And while this is good and we're pleased and proud this is not quite the standard for us yet. So while we feel good that earnings were up 40% in the first quarter that should not be the expectation for the rest of the year. For instance we had you know, like as I said a lot of good things went right. We had favourable spare parts mix in total. We had very favourable purchase price variances in the first quarter and we already know we will be giving a little of that back as the year progresses, as certain inputs such as steel are already going up. Still I am pleased that our cost control efforts are paying off. And we believe they will continue to benefit us throughout the rest of the year. So again not quite at the pace we experienced in the first quarter. Our biggest concern remains sales. It was good to see sales go up in the first quarter, but the sales increase was a very modest 2%. I mean, as that's certainly better than the than the sales declines we experienced in the second half of 2016, but definitely at a 2% growth indicates the soft market conditions with which we have been facing are still with us. And so market headwinds are still there we believe they will continue to affect us through the years and our big concern is sales because sales growth has been very modest if at all for like 2, 3 years now. And other factors such as currency exchange rates are also still impacting our results. As Dan pointed out in our European operations, our net sales were up 5% in local currency and yet down 3% in US dollars. And we believe this will continue to impact this at least till about midyear, I think midyear that’s when the Brexit took place last year, following which there was the big drop in the UK £, so you know probably by about the time we get to the third quarter the comparables should be a little bit more favourable, but still it's not like they are definitely practice in the second quarter and we just hope the dollar doesn't continue to strengthen. But you know it will actually give us a little break. So – but we are at least pleased that in local currency as I said our year of operation are starting to show some positive momentum. All of our operations there are benefiting from this uptick and even our UK ones with you know following the Brexit vote as well there was a lot of end users who had delayed purchases due to the uncertainty following the vote. And we're seeing them sort of come back to the market and you know and as they saw that the world didn't fall apart. And so I think there's more stability returning to the market. And we saw that in our results. We just hope that there's you know there's now, this weekend we have the vote in France for President, which is kind of an interesting one to follow. So I hope this does not create another sort of round of uncertainty, but it's not looking that way at this time. In our North American agricultural division, we had a very strong quarter for the first quarter which was very encouraging. Sales were up over 6% and this outpaced certainly the overall Ag market which is forecasted to be fairly flat this year. I think you know farm incomes are expected to be flat. But I'm a little more optimistic. I think early indications from the first quarter results of other manufacturers in this sector showed a slightly more positive trend, which I think is encouraging. I also you know - I think that even if the farm incomes are flat in 2017 manufacturers could do a little bit better because dealer inventories have been coming down for the last couple of years. So if the end user sales are flat, actually manufacture sales could be up a little. And I think our Ag division will continue to perform well, as we benefit from sort of the range of the product offering or you know the breadth of the markets we serve with that, plus I think we're seeing that some new product introductions we have made are off to a good start. So we're pleased that our Ag group has continued to sort of outpace the overall Ag industry for these last few years when the Ag industry has been soft and we believe that we will continue to do that through ’17 and I think we all expect that the market itself will show some positive momentum as we move into 2018. And even our North American industrial division had a reasonable start to the current year with sales up over 2%. While this is a modest increase as the earlier it was a lot better than the declines we saw in the second half of last year in the segment. You know, overall sales to governmental related entities or infrastructure maintenance remain steady with the exception of snow removal products which are still a little soft following two straight winters that were milder than normal, but even the equipment sales were not off very much. So I mean they actually helped. They were off, but held up actually pretty reasonable. And the areas that we had been hurt the most was in sales of products to non-governmental end users, while a small part of the business. But that had been a growing part, particularly of vacuum trucks. And so they - that was where we were hurt the most in the second half of 2016. And then while we're certainly not back to the levels we were in 2015, there was some improvement there and it does appear both sales and rental activity in this sector are starting to slowly improve. So you know that was a welcome development, welcome home improvement there because that is not only our biggest division, but you know a very high margin part of our business. So in total while we continue to face some of the headwinds with which we have been dealing for the last several years, the outlook for most of our markets seems to be steady to slightly improving, though none are what I would call robust at this time. But we welcome certainly any improvement and feel we can continue to take modest sales growth and turn it into even better earnings results even if not quite as well as we did in the first quarter of 2017. In addition, we believe we will also get some incremental benefit from the acquisitions we have pending. We feel both the old Old Dominion Brush Company One and San Isabel, which is a new one we announced just this week in Brazil, we feel they will both close in the second quarter of 2017. And while neither of these acquisitions are very big they should both provide us with some good momentum in their respective markets. Old Dominion is a solid fit with our industrial divisions sweeper activity and so you know they're going to be not only some market benefits, but some synergistic benefits. The same with Santa Isabel which are more than double the small position we already have in Brazil. Plus give us a much better manufacturing capabilities which are very important in a country like Brazil that has a lot of barriers against imported products and yet is the - Brazil is also probably the third largest Ag cultural economy in the world. And while it too has been down already we're seeing some signs that market is showing some improvement, a modest improvement this year as well. So in summary and we're also pleased that the M&A activity in general continues to progress at a healthy pace, giving us exposure to a reasonable level of deal activity, which I believe will lead to more opportunities for Alamo group than while these were pretty small incremental ones, I think we've been - having the opportunity to look at a few, more sizable deals as well. So I think you know, M&A activity is the key part of our strategy and we think that we will be able to continue to add some other pieces in that sector as well. So in summary, sort of despite ongoing stock market conditions that continue to constrain sales, our first quarter 2017 was off to a very good start, thanks to very strong operational execution. So with stable markets, cost control and incremental acquisitions we're quite optimistic about the outlook for Alamo group in 2017 and beyond. So as I said the key focus is sales, that's going to be - they've been tighten and we hope to really do you know, focus everything both organically and acquisitions to help bolster our sales level because I think we have shown we can do real nice when we get some extra sales. So thank you for your continued support. And with that, we would now like to open the floor for any questions you may have.