Kenneth Bernstein
Analyst · KeyBanc. Your question please
Thanks Lynn. Lynn was our summer associate in 2012, went out got CPA rejoined our accounting division this year and thank you for taking on the thankless task of reading the mind-numbing forward-looking statements. Good afternoon, everyone let me get me get down to business. During the third quarter we saw significant volatility in the public markets with REITs seemingly impacted by both concerns on one hand of potential interest rate increases from an improving economy causing an increase in cap rates and thus decrease in real estate values. And then on the other hand concerns of a global economic slowdown causing the clients and property fundamentals and thus also a decrease in real estate values. Meanwhile in the private real estate market fundamentals and valuation held firm with retailer demand for high-quality space remaining strong and investor desire for yield remaining solid. So with these conflicting and somewhat contradictory concerns in mind I'd like to spend a few minutes discussing how our company is positioned from both a defensive or recession resistant perspective as well as from a future growth perspective. Beginning with our core portfolio and it defensive attributes as you may recall about half of our portfolio is comprised of high quality more traditional urban and suburban retail predominantly anchored by supermarkets other necessity retailers as well as discounters. Top tenants in this half of the portfolio range from Stop & Shop to Target from T.J. Maxx to Home Depot. These properties are primarily in high barrier to entry supply constrained markets ranging from Queens here in New York to San Francisco from Cambridge, Massachusetts to Westchester. Over the past five years we've seen a healthy recovery in the performance of these assets with market rents now re-approaching pre-session highs. These properties in the retailers that occupy them have proven to be fairly recession resistant and if there were to be another economic slowdown we would expect the defensive nature of these assets to respond accordingly. The other half of our core portfolio is comprised of street retail properties. Our focus here is on properties in major gateway cities 24/7, live, work, play locations, where we’re responding to the ongoing retailer demand to be in these key brand-relevant, highly productive corridors. And while we spend more time talking about the superior growth profile of the street-retail properties, there is reasons why we think that is half of our portfolio at least at this point in time actually may provide superior defensive attributes as well and that’s simply due to the nice cushion that has developed between our in place rents compared to market rents, more specifically over the past 3 to 5 years that compounded annual growth in market rents from our street retail portfolio is significantly higher than in our suburban, it’s ranged from 5% to 10% a year in markets such as North Michigan Avenue in Chicago or M Street in Georgetown, to the low to mid-teens per year in several New York City markets including Soho, Tribeca, Union Square. This cushion means that almost without exception the recapture of any street retail space in our portfolio would be a profitable event and thus highly downside-resistant. Second, while there’s some recent concern about the impact of declining international tourism on certain flagship retailers and key avenues. Keep in mind that the shopper at our street retail properties is primarily the live, work, play, urban professional who buys groceries at our Trader Joe's in Lincoln Park or banks at our Citibank in Tribeca. Now on the other hand assuming that the U.S. economy continues to improve our core portfolio both street, urban and suburban also remained well-positioned from a growth perspective. During the third quarter our portfolio delivered solid-same store NOI growth of 4.3% which was not supplemented by any redevelopment activities nor does it include the value-added activities of our fund platform. And digging deeper into the quarterly numbers, our results remain thesis-consistent, with street retail NOI for the quarter up over 6% and urban and suburban up approximately 3%. While we feel good about our portfolios contractual rent growth, we also had several opportunities to add incremental income to our portfolio. For example in eight of our core properties, five street properties, two urban, one suburban. We believe that we can harvest a total of roughly $5 million of incremental NOI over the next five years through re-tenanting and redevelopment activities. This $5 million represents roughly 5% of our current employees NOI, it breaks out as follows, roughly a third of this NOI is immediately actionable resulting from the lease-up at three street retail properties and urban property in Queens, as well as the planned redevelopment of a prime corner of our Clark and Diversity property in Lincoln Park, Chicago. These all should be accomplished in 2016 and 2017. The next third of this NOI pertains to our Prince Street property in Soho. As we've discussed in the past both tenant spaces here at this property are currently leased at below market rents and while our first contractual lease expiration is in 2017 both spaces could be candidates for early recapture and either way are going to provide nice midterm growth. Finally, the balance of the incremental NOI pertains to two longer term redevelopment opportunities, which we hope to accomplish over the next five years. One is a modest expansion of our City Center property in San Francisco and the other is the eventual re-anchoring of our Crossroads shopping center in White Plains here in New York. Then beyond this $5 million as we think about potential upside further out over the next five to 10 years it's also worth noting that the leases is for almost half of our street retail rents, either expire without option or have options to renew at fair market value, this is about twice as much or twice as fast as within our suburban portfolio and highlights our ability to harvest embedded upside of our street retail assets sooner than in our stable but longer-term growth suburban asset. Along with internal growth we also supplement the growth profile of core portfolio with a disciplined core acquisition program as we’ve discussed will only add assets that are consistent with our long-term investment focus and accretive to NAV. Furthermore, even though our conservative balance sheet provides us with some latitude, we believe that acquisition should be done on a match-funded basis given the volatility in the REIT market during the third quarter, we were not active issuers of equity to our ATM nor did we issue of OP units. And thus, our core acquisitions were a bit tempered. During the third quarter, we did close on $120 million urban retail property located in Chicago's South Loop bringing our year-to-date volume to $200 million and the REIT market has more recently stabilized. We are carefully reaccelerating our core acquisitions and feel very good about our pipeline. So in short, we are very comfortable with our core portfolios decision during these times of volatility. In the same way as we like both the growth and the defensive attributes of core portfolio, our fund platform also provides us with additional opportunity and flexibility both during periods of growth as well as volatility. And with that I’d like to hand the call over to Amy, who will discuss our fund activity.