James Benson
Analyst · Dougherty & Company
Thank you, Tom. As Tom mentioned earlier, our business performed well in the fourth quarter, capping off a very strong 2012. We grew revenue $33 million sequentially and 17% year-over-year to $378 million in the fourth quarter, coming in just shy of the midpoint of our guidance range. I mentioned on our last call that the online holiday shopping season will play a large role on where we would land relative to our fourth quarter guidance. And while we had a solid e-commerce season, it was not as strong as the record growth we saw last year. During the quarter, we grew our content delivery solutions revenue 11% year-over-year and 5% sequentially, solid growth when you consider the timing impact of the significant Q3 software releases we discussed in our last call, releases that historically took place and benefited Q4 growth. Our cloud infrastructure solutions grew 20% year-over-year and 12% sequentially in the fourth quarter. We are particularly pleased with the great traction and demand for our security solutions, with more than 5x year-over-year revenue growth in the fourth quarter, and we had more than 400 customers leveraging at least one of our security offerings at year end. For the quarter, total cloud infrastructure solutions comprised 60% of our total revenue. Turning to our key industry verticals. Enterprise was our fastest-growing vertical, with revenue up 28% year-over-year and 11% sequentially, as our customers shifted more applications to the cloud and we saw increased demand for our optimization performance in security solutions. Our commerce vertical increased 17% over Q4 of last year and 21%, sequentially. We continue to see strong growth in our flagship website acceleration solutions, as well as continued traction with our security solutions. Revenue from our Media & Entertainment vertical grew 15% year-over-year and 6% sequentially. This is particularly strong growth when you consider the timing of the significant Q3 software releases I just mentioned. High tech revenue grew 13% compared to Q4 of last year and 6% sequentially. Growth in the quarter was driven by solid software download volumes and Software-as-a-Service customers adopting more of our cloud infrastructure solutions. And finally, Public Sector revenue grew 14% year-over-year but was down 6% from a very strong Q3, due to the timing of several large custom government projects that were completed in the third quarter. Turning to our geographies. Sales from outside North America represented 29% of total revenue in Q4, consistent with the prior quarter and up 1 point from the prior year. International revenue grew 22% year-over-year and 10% sequentially in Q4. Foreign exchange provided roughly a $1 million benefit on a sequential basis in the quarter. This benefit was lower than our guidance expectations by about $1 million. On a year-over-year basis, foreign exchange had a negative impact of about $1 million. Excluding the impact of currency, revenue growth outside North America grew 23% year-over-year and 9% sequentially. Revenue from North America grew 15% year-over-year in the quarter and was up 9% sequentially. Resellers represented 23% of total revenue in the quarter, up 1 point from last quarter as we expanded our partner ecosystem in new markets. Turning to costs. We were extremely pleased with our continued execution on managing cost of goods sold and gross margins in the quarter. Our cash gross margin for the quarter was 82%, up 1 point from the last quarter and up 3 points from the same period last year and at the high end of our guidance range. GAAP gross margin, which includes both depreciation and stock-based compensation, was 70% for the quarter, up 2 points sequentially and from the same period last year. We've continued to find ways to make our network even more efficient while taking advantage of our scale. These are critical factors in our ability to deliver gross margins at these levels. GAAP operating expenses were $170 million in the fourth quarter. These GAAP numbers include depreciation, amortization of intangible assets and stock-based compensation. Excluding noncash charges, our operating expenses for the quarter were $137 million, up $15 million from Q3, up 26% on a year-over-year basis and in line with our expectations for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $173 million. That's up 17% from the same period last year and up 11% from Q3 levels. Our adjusted EBITDA margin came in at 46%, better than our guidance due to our higher gross margins in the quarter. This level was consistent with the same period last year and up 1 point from the prior quarter. For the fourth quarter, total depreciation and amortization was $55 million. These charges include $44 million of network-related depreciation, $6 million of G&A depreciation and $5 million of amortization of intangible assets. Net interest income for the fourth quarter was $1.6 million, roughly flat with Q3 levels. Moving on to earnings. GAAP net income for the quarter was $68 million or $0.38 of earnings per diluted share. As a reminder, our GAAP net income includes $23 million of stock-based compensation, including amortization of capitalized equity-based compensation and $5 million from amortization of acquired intangible assets. Taxes included in our GAAP and normalized earnings were $29 million, based on a full year GAAP tax rate of 36.6%, but driving a 30% tax rate for the fourth quarter. As Tom mentioned earlier, this tax rate is more favorable than our 39% full year guidance range, due primarily to higher foreign earnings as a result of a full year tax adjustment to our global cost-sharing model. Specifically, we adjusted the way we share our R&D costs across our subsidiaries. Including these tax charges, our normalized net income for the fourth quarter was $98 million. That translates to $0.54 per diluted share on a normalized basis, up $0.09 from Q4 of last year, up $0.11 from Q3 levels and coming in $0.04 above the high end of our guidance range. The favorable tax rate contributed to $0.04 of this overachievement. Our weighted average diluted share count for the fourth quarter was 182 million shares. With our solid fourth quarter results, we finished the year with $1.37 billion in revenue, an increase of 19% over 2011. Full year GAAP gross margin came in at 69%, up 1 point from 2011. Cash gross margin was 81%, up 2 points from the prior year. We are extremely pleased with our margin expansion this past year. Our improvements in this area are a direct result of the work by our engineering and network teams to implement a number of hardware and software initiatives to manage our global network more efficiently, and we believe we can maintain our momentum in scaling the network going forward. Full year GAAP operating expenses were $628 million. These GAAP numbers include depreciation, amortization of intangible assets and stock-based compensation. Excluding these noncash charges, operating expenses for the full year were $493 million, up 25% on a year-over-year basis. As we discussed throughout 2012, we are committed to pursuing the exciting opportunities in front of us. Last year, we invested both organically and through M&A, taking steps to increase the pace of innovation and accelerate growth. We hired over 700 employees across the company, focused primarily in additional engineering resources, service and customer support staffing and network efficiency scaling. We also began to ramp sales and supporting go-to-market capacity and expect to further ramp hiring in this area in 2013. Full year adjusted EBITDA was $615 million, up 17% from 2011. And full year adjusted EBITDA margin was 45%, consistent with the prior year. GAAP net income was $204 million or $1.12 of earnings per diluted share for 2012. This GAAP net income included $98 million of stock-based compensation expense, including amortization of capitalized equity-based compensation and $21 million of amortization of intangible assets. Excluding these items, our normalized net income for the year was $329 million or $1.81 of earnings per diluted share. That's up 16% from 2011. This number includes a full year GAAP tax charge of $118 million based on a full year GAAP tax rate of 36.6%. Now let me review some balance sheet items. Cash generation was very strong. Cash from operations for the fourth quarter was $147 million. And for the full year, we generated $530 million of cash from operations or 39% of revenue. At the end of Q4, we had over $1 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities on the balance sheet. Capital expenditures in Q4, excluding equity compensation, were $61 million. For the full year, capital expenditures were $220 million or 16% of revenues, in line with our expectations heading into the year. This number includes both investments in the network, as well as capitalized software development, facilities and IT. During the quarter, we spent $30 million on share repurchases, buying back about 800,000 shares at an average price of $37.50. For the full year, we spent $141 million, buying back over 4 million shares at an average price of $32.50. We are also pleased to announce that our board has authorized an extension of our share repurchase program, authorizing an additional $150 million over the next 12 months, effective February 1. As with our existing program, we intend to fund it out of our cash generation, with a primary goal to offset dilution from ongoing equity grants. Finally, days sales outstanding for the quarter was 55 days. With a solid Q4 and a very strong 2012, we are optimistic about our long-term growth potential. We continue to see strong demand for both our content delivery and our cloud infrastructure solutions. We believe that we are executing well in our management of cost of goods sold and expect that to continue. We are also committed to making the investments to deliver near-term performance for the business and to drive Akamai's growth beyond 2013. Before I get into guidance for the first quarter, I wanted to address 3 items that will be factored into our future results: First, and as Tom alluded to earlier, we announced on January 24 that MediaMath acquired our Advertising Decision Solutions business, which we call ADS. Given the timing of the divestiture, our Q1 guidance will include roughly 1 month of the ADS business. To help you understand the impact of the ADS divestiture to our previously reported 2012 results, a detailed breakout of the ADS business can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website. Second, our Q1 guidance will include a full quarter of the Veraview business. This business will have virtually no impact to the top line but will add roughly $3 million of operating expense in the quarter. And third, it has become clear that the expected average useful life of our network servers is actually closer to 4 years rather than the current 3-year depreciation convention, due to the software and hardware initiatives we have undertaken to manage our global network more efficiently. Effective Q1, we plan to extend the useful life depreciation methodology of our network assets by approximately 1 year. This will result in less network depreciation recorded in Q1 2013 as we distribute the depreciation expense over a longer period of time. This change in methodology will impact both existing network equipment on our books as of December end and future network purchases. A supplemental table highlighting the impact of this change on our existing assets can also be found on the Investor Relations section of our website. Now on to guidance. We are expecting Q1 revenues of $352 million to $362 million. This range represents 13% to 16% year-over-year growth adjusted for the ADS divestiture. The expected deceleration versus Q4 growth of 17% is due to the following: First, as Tom mentioned, we are continuing our selective approach to the management of our media delivery business, and we will be winding down some contracts with a few media accounts in the first quarter that are not of long-term economic value. Second, we anticipate more difficult comparisons in our cloud solution growth rates, partially due to the wraparound effect of the Cotendo acquisition, which we closed in March -- last March. And third, we expect that foreign exchange will be a headwind in Q1, with expected negative sequential impact of about $1 million based on current spot rates. We expect first quarter cash gross margins of roughly 82%, up 3 points year-over-year and consistent with the Q4 levels. We expect GAAP gross margins of roughly 73%. Included in our GAAP gross margin guidance is a roughly 4-point favorable impact to depreciation as a result of the change in our estimated useful lives of existing assets as of December 31 and new assets acquired during Q1. Q1 operating expenses are projected to be up about $4 million from Q4 levels. This increase is driven primarily by a full quarter of Veraview and continued headcount investments focused in sales capacity, building out some of our new partnerships and in some of the R&D areas outlined by Tom. As a result, we expect adjusted EBITDA margins to be in the range of 42% to 43% for Q1. And we expect to continue to accelerate investment, likely yielding an EBITDA margin in the low 40s for the next several quarters. At this level of revenue, we expect to see normalized EPS in the range of $0.50 to $0.52 for the quarter. This EPS guidance includes taxes of $26 million to $29 million based on an estimated full year GAAP tax rate of 34% to 35% and a quarterly tax rate of approximately 31%. The driver of the lower Q1 tax rate is the full impact of the reinstated 2012 federal R&D tax credit in Q1. This guidance also reflects a fully diluted share count of roughly 181 million shares. On CapEx, we expect to spend about $65 million to $70 million in the quarter, excluding equity compensation. This reflects our desire to stay ahead of the growth we expect on the network and, more specifically, the impact of increased capitalized software and facility build-out investments to support the headcount growth in the business. Overall, we are pleased with the performance of the business, and we remain optimistic about our growth potential. We look forward to having an opportunity to go into more details with you about the business and the future trends in the industry at our upcoming Investor Summit in Cambridge on March 11. Now Tom and I will take your questions. Operator, the first question, please?