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Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. (AHT)

Q1 2025 Earnings Call· Wed, May 7, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Regina, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Ashford Hospitality Trust First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Deric Eubanks, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Deric Eubanks

Analyst

Good morning, and welcome to today’s conference call to review results for Ashford Hospitality Trust for the first quarter of 2025 and to update you on recent developments. On the call today will also be Stephen Zsigray, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Chris Nixon, Executive Vice President and Head of Asset Management. The results as well as notice of the accessibility of this conference call on a listen-only basis over the Internet were distributed yesterday afternoon in a press release. At this time, let me remind you that certain statements and assumptions in this conference call contain or are based upon forward-looking information and are being made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the federal securities regulations. Such forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, uncertainties and known or unknown risks, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. These factors are more fully discussed in the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The forward-looking statements included in this conference call are only made as of the date of this call, and the company is not obligated to publicly update or revise them. Statements made during this call do not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Securities will be offered only by means of a registration statement and prospectus, which can be found at www.sec.gov. In addition, certain terms used in this call are non-GAAP financial measures, reconciliations of which are provided in the company’s earnings release and accompanying tables or schedules, which have been filed on Form 8-K with the SEC on May 6, 2025, and may also be accessed through the company’s website at www.ahtreit.com. Each listener is encouraged to review those reconciliations provided in the earnings release together with all other information provided in the release. Also, unless otherwise stated, all reported results discussed in this call compare the first quarter ended March 31, 2025, with the first quarter ended March 31, 2024. I will now turn the call over to Stephen Zsigray. Please go ahead.

Stephen Zsigray

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. After my introductory comments, Deric will review our first quarter financial results, and then Chris will provide an operational update on our portfolio. Our first quarter performance was highlighted by 3.2% comparable RevPAR growth, 3.6% comparable total revenue growth and 8.7% growth in comparable hotel EBITDA. We’re very pleased with these results, which clearly underscore the impact of the strategic decisions our team has made over the past several quarters and the strength of our high-quality, geographically diverse portfolio. We’re also happy to report the first full quarter results following our recent conversions of the La Concha Hotel in Key West to Marriott’s Autograph Collection and the Le Pavillon Hotel in New Orleans to Marriott’s Tribute portfolio. Le Pavillon had an outstanding quarter with 78% total revenue growth over prior year quarter, while La Concha realized 27% total revenue growth over the same period. Late last year, we announced GRO AHT, a transformative initiative aimed at driving $50 million in run rate EBITDA improvement. Realizing outsized improvement in property level performance is critical to achieving that goal and our nearly 9% year-over-year improvement in comparable hotel EBITDA for the quarter reflects the tremendous efforts that our asset management team and property managers have made to drive revenue growth while aggressively managing operating expenses. In addition to strong property performance, we’ve also realized substantial reductions to corporate expenses as part of our GRO AHT initiative. Our Board of Directors approved a 50% reduction in cash compensation for Board members while also reducing the current size of the Board from nine members down to seven. Additionally, total incentive awards granted to executive management and other associates were reduced by more than 50% relative to recent years. Lastly, our adviser, Ashford Inc., has…

Deric Eubanks

Analyst

Thanks, Stephen. For the first quarter, we reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $27.8 million or $4.91 per diluted share. For the quarter, we reported AFFO per diluted share of negative $0.98. Importantly, total AFFO improved by $8.2 million over the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDAre for the quarter was $61.7 million, which reflected a $2.2 million increase over the prior year quarter with total revenue down $26.5 million compared to the prior year quarter this adjusted EBITDAre result reflects our focus on cost-saving measures at both the property level and corporate level. At the end of the first quarter, we had $2.6 billion of loans with a blended average interest rate of 8.1%, taking into account in the money interest rate caps. Considering the current level of SOFR and the corresponding interest rate caps, approximately 23% of our debt is now effectively fixed and 77% is effectively floating. We ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $85.8 million and restricted cash of $139.2 million. The vast majority of that restricted cash is comprised of lender and manager held reserve accounts and $2.6 million related to trapped cash held by lenders. Our restricted cash increased $39 million from the previous quarter and the vast majority of that cash is set aside for future capital expenditures. At the end of the quarter, we also had $22.1 million due from third-party hotel managers. This primarily represents cash held by one of our property managers which is also available to fund hotel operating costs. We ended the quarter with net working capital of approximately $156 million, which was $34 million higher than the previous quarter. As of March 31, 2025, our consolidated portfolio consisted of 72 hotels with 17,329 rooms. After taking into account our recently completed 1 for 10 reverse stock split, our share count currently stands at approximately 5.9 million fully diluted shares outstanding, which is comprised of 5.8 million shares of common stock and 0.1 million OP units. As Stephen mentioned, we closed our offering of Series J and Series K non-traded preferred stock on March 31, 2025. Since launching the offering in 2022, we raised approximately $212 million of gross proceeds from the sale of our Series J and Series K non-traded preferred stock. While we are currently paying our preferred dividends quarterly or monthly, we do not anticipate reinstating a common dividend in 2025. This concludes our financial review and I would now like to turn it over to Chris to discuss our asset management activities for the quarter.

Chris Nixon

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Thank you, Deric. During the first quarter of 2025, our geographically diverse portfolio delivered strong results, highlighting both the quality of our assets and the effectiveness of our strategic initiatives. Comparable hotel RevPAR increased by 3% over the prior year period, reflecting the successful execution of our top line strategies. This performance was supported by our ability to capture elevated demand tied to the presidential inauguration and several high profile events. In Washington D.C., over the three day period extending from January 18 through January 20, inauguration related demand drove 95% occupancy across our hotels and generated over $1.6 million in incremental room revenue compared to the prior year period. We are particularly proud of our asset management team whose exceptional efforts were instrumental in driving these results, despite continued softness in the government segment and related travel. Even with these challenges, hotel EBITDA across the entire portfolio grew 9% during the first quarter over the prior year quarter. These results were driven in large part by implementation of several GRO AHT initiatives that were in full swing during the quarter. The property’s disciplined focus on maximizing ancillary revenue and executing targeted expense management strategies has set a strong foundation for the year ahead. With that, I would now like to highlight a few of the recent success stories from across our portfolio. Group room revenue pace remains positive across portfolio despite broader macroeconomic pressures. Every quarter of 2025 group rate is pacing ahead of their respective prior year periods. Starting in February, we observed softness in a few markets, largely attributable to recent policy changes and actions by DOGE. The top five hotels in the portfolio by key count closed the quarter with a 10% increase in group room revenue pace compared to the prior year. Looking ahead, these…

Operator

Operator

We’ll take our first question from the line of Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead.

Jonathan Jenkins

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. First one for me, wanted to dive into the portfolio trends. Can you maybe help us think about the monthly RevPAR progression in the quarter and the impact of calendar shifts, what impact that had on March and April and what you’re seeing more real time in demand trends given the industry at a somewhat volatile March coupled with some calendar shifts and other factors.

Chris Nixon

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Yes. Jonathan, I can take that. This is Chris. January was the strongest month of the quarter right after inauguration when many of the DOGE initiatives went into effect is when we started to see softening. There were some other headwinds within the quarter. February losing – February 29th in the comparable to last year being the leap period certainly played an impact. Easter moving into April certainly helped March and will have an impact on April. In terms of the broader trends, we mentioned softening in certain markets from the group segment, that’s – we’re certainly seeing that it’s not across the board, corporate group and the entertainment segments within our group customers are still fairly resilient, fairly strong. We did see some cancellations within the D.C. market. Cancellations outside of D.C. have subsided. We’re not seeing a lot of cancellations outside of D.C. There are some reductions in block, but a lot of the kind of softening is very short-term. So we’re not seeing anything really into 2026 at this time. I mentioned the government pullback that is primarily impacting D.C. the good news is that as we are working to backfill that business. We are seeing strength in other segments, especially in the D.C. market. So we’re working very hard to go after new business transient accounts. We’re revisiting some of the accounts that we weren’t interested in before and business transient pace in D.C. is up significantly in Q2. And so we are being successful in kind of navigating those trends and backfilling that business. Our focus is heavily on labor and as Stephen said, kind of controlling what we can control. Very happy with productivity. We saw enhancements over last year in hours for occupied room, we’re running much more efficient hotels still than we were in 2019. Our contract labor utilization is down, hourly wages are stabilizing. And so a lot of those things are what drove and played a key role in our EBITDA gains. And we expect those to continue as we move ahead.

Jonathan Jenkins

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Okay, that’s great color there, Chris. Maybe following up on that. And this might be difficult to quantify or estimate, but how much of the portfolio do you think is exposed to kind of international inbound travel and government demand? And it sounds like more recent demand volatility is attributable to calendar shifts and the pause given the uncertainty versus any type of structural slowdown in demand. Is that a fair characterization of your comments?

Chris Nixon

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Yes, it’s definitely isolated in the short-term in terms of international, it’s a very small percentage of this portfolio’s demand. It’s less than 5%. Government is a little bit larger, but far less than group or leisure. And it’s particularly isolated to D.C., again where we’re seeing declines in government outside of the D.C. market. It’s more associated with government contractors and that is such a small percentage of those hotels business. So where we are seeing the declines in government in D.C. where we’ve been able to backfill with other segments and so we’re fairly confident that’ll be the case as we move forward as well.

Jonathan Jenkins

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

That’s very helpful. And maybe switching gears to the AHT GRO initiative, it’s already delivering impressive results almost 60% of the way to the target. Can you help us think about how much of that low-hanging fruit has been harvested and kind of your takeaways or areas of success? And then, what kind of areas or potential opportunities remain and your confidence to get to that $50 million goal?

Stephen Zsigray

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Yes, sure. I think certainly, the low-hanging fruit is always kind of the first to go. But we do still have – we have some really chunky pieces of this. I think there’s still $10-plus million of improvement that we hopefully will be able to make at the corporate level. And then the other piece of it is going to play out over time. It’s growing index, and it’s very difficult for us to kind of report on, okay, where do we think this land as a percent of the goal. So my expectation is that we’ve actually probably already achieved a little bit more than that. It’s just hard to quantify exactly what that is, and we’ll continue to make updates as we get further into the year. But still feel very good about our ability to deliver on that $50 million goal.

Jonathan Jenkins

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

That’s great color there. And switching gears to the BAML Island loan. I’m sorry if I missed this. Is there any update there or update on conversations with lenders? How are you thinking about that maturity?

Stephen Zsigray

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Yes. So we do have a forbearance agreement in place. We’ve got an extension option to next month. We continue to work both with the existing lenders and other lenders on potential refinancing, but do expect that we’ll come to a conclusion on that one that’s favorable.

Jonathan Jenkins

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Okay. Appreciate that. And then last one for me, if I could. The Morgan Stanley loan extension in that press release, there was some commentary about the potential for asset sales. Any color about how you’re thinking about potential dispositions just broadly and what the market is pricing currently? Any color would be helpful on that.

Stephen Zsigray

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Yes, yes, absolutely. So as it relates to sales, there have been two big developments lately that have allowed us to kind of shift our focus as it relates to sales. First, we paid off our Oaktree corporate strategic financing in February. That had us very focused on our biggest assets with the most equity because we were trying to generate cash proceeds to pay down that loan. Now that, that’s behind us, we’ve been able to shift that focus a bit. And then secondly, as you mentioned, with that, that particular loan pool, as we’ve negotiated extensions on a lot of our existing loans, we’ve been very focused on obtaining flexibility on asset release prices. A lot of these loans are from pre-COVID and the portfolios have changed and the valuations have changed significantly. And so having flexibility to sell assets that isn’t necessarily tied to where their values were seven or eight years ago has considerably expanded our flexibility across the portfolio to explore assets and be more opportunistic in what we’re looking to sell. We primarily are focused, I would say, the high end of the range is probably $50 million to $75 million of equity value right now. So primarily select service and some of our underperforming assets in the full-service segment that we believe selling for relatively attractive cap rates relative to the cash flows things are throwing off will allow us to continue to deleverage and continue to make significant improvements to our capital structure overall.

Jonathan Jenkins

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

That’s perfect. Thank you for all the color and for everyone’s time today. That’s all for me.

Operator

Operator

And that will conclude our question-and-answer session. I’ll hand the call back to management for any closing comments.

Stephen Zsigray

Analyst · Jonathan Jenkins with Oppenheimer and Company. Please go ahead

Thank you for joining today’s call, and we look forward to speaking with you all again next quarter.

Operator

Operator

That will conclude today’s meeting. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.