Rob Hays
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question
Yes, that’s a good question. I mean, obviously we have our eye on, and you said, I mean, there’s always kind of handful of markets that have some supply issues, Nashville, Austin, Dallas maybe even Atlanta, Denver that we don’t have much exposure there. So there are some markets where it seems like at least on the drawing board, there’s a lot of supply potentially coming out. Obviously what we’ve experienced in Nashville is that that market had a ton of supply, but given the asset that we have the location where it is, the quality of the renovation that was done, the other things going on around that hotel the demand is kind of through the roof. And so we’ve seen just no impact whatever I think to that hotel from a impact to supply, just because how well located it is. I do think it could be a potential headwind in some of these other markets. It’s hard to know exactly what percent happen in Austin. I mean, Austin is blowing and going, I mean, demand is growing, a city is growing, there’s definitely something we said about it becoming the New Silicon Valley. That being said, it just Texas does have lower barriers to entry and it’s something that we have seen across Texas markets in our history particularly being from Dallas, that if we’ve had a hard time raising rates historically, and so it is something that it could be a – a little bit of a headwind in those markets. But I think as we look across our overall portfolio of what we think supply growth is, and even by kind of our tracks within those markets I think we see over the next 24 months or so that supply growth probably is going to be more than maybe one, low 1% or 1% 1.5%. And so obviously we see demand significantly – growing significantly above that on kind of a normalized basis. So I think for least to the last next several years, we think that things are looking good. And honestly, as you see, continued geopolitical concerns, these inflationary concerns and the cost concerns, I mean, we’re seeing on the construction side and even our own CapEx budgeting, projects being skinny down a little bit, in certain situations to keep down costs that with what it’s now taking to build in, particularly in larger, more urban markets I think what you see coming into the pipeline, a lot of that is not going to be made in that even with this inflationary environment and cost situations. I think a lot of banks have a lot of concerns on the construction side’s cost. So anyway, Chris may have something?