Robison Hays
Analyst · Baird. Please state your question
Like, I can take that too. I mean, I think, once you’re dealing with the special, most things can be changed. I mean, they have their – the rights, the abilities to do quite a few types of modifications, including extensions, changes in rate, changes in a variety of terms. There are certain things, structurally, that they may not be able to do. To give you an example, one thing that we had as an ask early on in some of our forbearance discussions was taking deferred interest and putting it onto the back end as an addition to principal payments at maturity, As we’ve discovered, that’s not something structurally, that’s very easy to do within the CMBS environment. So there’s things like that, that are just no more difficult.The issue, I think, is less about what they’re capable of doing and more about what they’re willing to do in this right now. Again, I don’t think people have – the servicers and lenders have yet come to acknowledge the reality and depth of this crisis, and the fact that I don’t think there will probably be one forbearance of 3 to 6 months that will likely suffice to solve the problem. And I think that’s the case, almost universally, across every hotel loan. No one is ready to solve it. And that may just have to come through continued pain and just watching this slowly crawl back.And so I just don’t know when those legitimate discussions will – they’ll be ready to have, I don’t know if that’s after Forbearance 2.0, as people still realize here in a couple of months that there’s still assets that have still low-double-digit, 20%, 30% occupancy. And they’re still treading water and still underwater. Is it then – do they kick the can out just another 3 months or 6 months we do this again? But at some point, in time, fundamentally, every hotel loan in America will likely need to have some sort of restructuring of something.And I just don’t know when that will happen. Obviously, we’re – we would love for that to be happening sooner rather than later. But I think the lenders are by and large, and the servicers are hesitant to do that, because they just – that’s a lot of work. That’s a lot of some sense of risk that they’re taking, because they just don’t know the trajectory of the recovery. And again, they don’t want to look silly as if they gave the borrower a really friendly deal, and then they look back and say, well, that was stupid, we gave them too much. And they’re just not ready to do that yet. So it’s not just that, I mean, I think it’s the case that every loan, every hotel loan in America is going to have some sort of need to be extended and some sort of restructuring done.