Garo Armen
Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead
Thank you, Jen. It is indeed a very exciting time for us. Our company of 300 employees has developed a pipeline of more than 22 discoveries, 13 of which are in the clinic by us and our collaborators. As Jen mentioned, we are preparing for the commercial launch of our first two antibodies which target the validated immune checkpoints CTLA-4 and PD-1. Today’s market for these targets represents $30 billion in annual revenues. The revenues for the first two anti-PD-1 antibodies alone will exceed $20 billion this year. The overall immuno-oncology market is expected to grow to 50 billion in annual revenues in the next five years. The recent explosive growth of the first two anti-PD-1 antibodies, Keytruda and Opdivo, has come from either combinations with chemotherapy, that’s in the case of Keytruda, or in combinations with CTLA-4, which is the case with Opdivo. We believe we will be able to take a slice of this existing market with our balstilimab, which for your easy reference I will call bali, and zalifrelimab, which I will call – that’s the PD-1 – I’m sorry, that’s the CTLA-4 which for your easy reference I’ll call zali. I’m deviating from convention here, but so be it. We believe we’ll be able to take, as I said, a slice of this existing market with our bali and zali combinations. While there are a lot of PD-1 antibodies out there, we expect to be the second PD-1 plus CTLA-4 combination in the market. But most importantly, if our AGEN1181 is what we believe it could be, AGEN1181 plus our bali, that’s PD-1, combination has the potential to provide superior benefit to patients, then the combinations offered by today’s market leaders, Keytruda and Opdivo, to us and our shareholders as well as patients, this represents a significant potential opportunity. So what we know today. We know, as Jen mentioned, that when you add CTLA-4 to PD-1 you expand response rate and durability of responses pretty much across a multitude of solid tumors. This is outlined again for your reference in Slide 5. In 14 different tumor types, this trend has become clear. And all of the 18 PD-1 approved indications, CTLA-4 combination with PD-1 is approved in eight of those and we expect this list to grow. Yesterday, for example, Yervoy received another approval in combination with Opdivo. Now imagine a more active combination partner for our PD-1 bali in the form of our AGEN1181. We believe this molecule can advance the registration as monotherapy but can also substantially differentiate our PD-1 antibody bali from the existing PD-1s. As Jen mentioned, we designed this molecule to benefit a much larger patient population than the patients who respond to first generation CTLA-4 targeting antibodies. Given the prevalence of this particular polymorphism which AGEN1181 addresses and it’s designed to benefit as a result, 60% more of the patients compared to 20% addressable with first generation CTLA-4. This, by the way, we believe a major event. As you heard before, the clinical data coming in from our Phase 1 trial is in line with our expectations so far for the activity of this molecule as both monotherapy as well as in combination with our own PD-1 targeting antibody bali. We are currently under CDA for discussions with several major companies for principally ex-U.S. partnerships and plan to retain much of the economics for AGEN1181 in the United States for ourselves. Let me step back and reflect on something unusual. As you know, the world is in a state of crisis. I’ll give you a brief update on how we are managing the coronavirus crisis. Before coronavirus outbreak took place in the United States, our executive team – that’s by the way two weeks ago, our executive team took proactive and aggressive measures to protect our employees, our families and our business. We implemented bans on travel and conference attendance, instituted aggressive decontamination measures during and in between work hours, equipped our employees with protective supplies and continued to have an open and transparent dialogue regarding exposures and measures as we gather more data. We have also implemented a three-week quarantine period for employees who maybe at any kind of risk due to potential exposure and what have you as well as risk factors, but those affected by quarantine are a tiny handful today and we hope that because of our protective measures we’ll keep these numbers tiny going forward. I also want to make it clear that none of our employees have been diagnosed with coronavirus. In the event of the need to implement more stringent measures, we are fully geared for seamless work from home for most who can perform their duties remotely. We’re not there yet. Finally, I will quickly summarize a few of the points Jen highlighted and give you financial guidance for the year. We’ve had an outstanding 2019 and we’re looking forward to an even more outstanding 2020. As Jen mentioned in the past four and a half years, we have raised $540 million in partnerships and royalty transactions. We continue to benefit from the monetization and the performance of Shingrix containing our proprietary QS-21. This is a blockbuster product and GSK realized 2.3 billion in sales in its second year after launch. In addition to the announcement we made this week of a $15 million payment, we are eligible to receive an additional $25 million in sales milestones which we expect to come this year. And to the delight of our long-term shareholders, as a consequence of all of these non-dilutive transactions, as I said, we have not had to make a marketed stock offering in the past five years. Based on the progress of our programs, we expect to continue to finance our operations largely from cash milestones from existing collaborations and royalty payments which are expected to reach about 60 million this year, but most importantly we expect to enter into new collaborations this year which can result in significant cash infusion into the company. Additionally, from time to time we may engage in transactions for additional capital infusion without a marketed offering. We ended 2019 with a cash balance of 61.8 million. We expect to trigger, as I said, approximately $60 million in milestone payments this year. But so far, based on transactions in the first quarter of this year, we expect to close the first quarter with approximately $110 million in cash. That is quite a bit higher than our year-end cash position. This does not include additional milestones for the balance of the year or partnership transactions we expect to happen this year. So with that, I will turn this over to Christine and later we will take questions. Christine?