Tim Rodell
Analyst · Zacks Investment Research
Thank you, Jim. And thank you all for dialing into our earnings call. I'd like to first to briefly address the suspension trading the company shares by the Securities and Exchange Commission on Friday. We will then update on the progress of our programs in oncology and we’ll then discuss our view of the evolving corona virus outbreak and the potential relevance of the Hemopurifier in this, in the future viral epidemics. As you know, on February 7, 2020, the Securities and Exchange Commission issued an order of suspension of trading, temporarily spending trading in Aethlon Medical Incorporated’s stock for a period of 10 days. The SEC order stated that the suspension was due to concerns regarding the accuracy and adequacy of information in the marketplace that appeared to be disseminated by third-party promoters and recent and unusual market activity since at least January 22, 2020. Aethlon is aware that certain third-party promoters may have made claims about the potential accuracy of its products with respect to the corona virus. The company neither solicited an advanced knowledge of, nor played any role in the preparation of such reports. Now I wanted to get that out of the way first, so that we can concentrate on what we and our shareholders really care about, which is a discussion of our R&D programs. So let we move to that. We are continuing the advancement of the Hemopurifier for advanced cancers under our recently approved IEE and breakthrough designation. As we previously disclosed, the initial clinical trial in cancer, known as an early feasibility study which is the device equivalent of a Phase 1 trial, will be a small single center, open label trial in 10 to 12 patients with advanced and/or metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck or head and neck cancer, who are receiving pembrolizumab, which is Merck’s drug also known as Keytruda in the front line setting and for which it received FDA approval last year. The protocol for this trial is undergoing IRB and related reviews at the trial site, and we expect the trial to open for enrollment in the near future. We will be in a position to discuss additional details regarding the trial at that time. To our subsidiary Exosome Sciences, we're also continuing our collaboration with the Hoag Hospital group in Newport Beach, California to characterize diagnostic and prognostic exosome markers in patients with in a high risk for solid tumors. Additionally, we're also continuing our work under the recently awarded approximately $1.8 million National Cancer Institute contract, to develop our benchtop version of the Hemopurifier for the isolation and characterization of exosomes. These are our major activities in the oncology space. We continue to work on other potential applications in ways that we can investigate the Hemopurifier. And now I'd like to move on to discuss our work in the development of Hemopurifiers for viral infections, which is an area that remains a major focus of the company, and has received a great deal of attention in the context of the current corona virus outbreak. As you know, in addition to the oncology breakthrough designation, the company has also received a breakthrough designation for the Hemopurifier for the treatment of life threatening viruses that are not addressed with approved therapies, an designation that would generically appear fit the current corona virus outbreak, which is now designated as 2019-NCOV, that's a working name for this particular corona virus and we'll probably have a different name at some point in the near future. However, in order for the Hemopurifier to be evaluated and deployed in this situation, a number of conditions would have to be met as I will discuss in a minute. And this is the reason we have publicly commented before this morning. There is not adequate information out there yet for us to be able to say one way or another, whether the Hemopurifier is potentially a candidate for the treatment of this disease. But before I go into that, let me step back and provide a quick overview of the status of the current outbreak, because a number of the characteristics of this virus that we understand now have a direct impact on the potential for the Hemopurifier to intervene in this disease. Based on data from the World Health Organization from yesterday morning, there have been a total of 37,558 confirmed infections with this particular strain of the corona virus. Because as you will see, the majority of these cases are mild disease and the majority of them in fact are in China where healthcare resources are very strained at this point, many cases are not yet reported. Many patients who are probably infected can't even get into see healthcare practitioner. So the overall figure is probably substantially higher than reported confirmed number of cases. As I said, the majority of these cases are in China. So out of the 37,558 confirmed cases globally, 37,251 of those cases are in China. Of those 6,000 are defined as severe, which means 17% rate of severity and the case fatality rate is 2%. Now given that the total number of cases is probably higher than what’s reported, this case fatality rate may actually be lower than that more on the order of 1%. Now as of yesterday, the World Health Organization had reported 812 deaths in China and one death outside of China. But based on data that are now becoming available today, the mortality rate is probably now closer to a thousand. Of note as reported yesterday, even with this low case fatality rate, that is the percentage of patients who are infected, who die, the total number of deaths in this outbreak has now surpassed the SARS outbreak. So the SARS outbreak affected a smaller number of patients with a higher fatality rate, but because of the greater number of patients who are infected with this current corona virus, the mortality rate, even though on a percentage basis is lower, has now surpassed the SARS epidemic. Now for perspective, I have to say that both of these outbreaks, the SARS outbreak and the current corona virus outbreak pale in significance next to influenza, which is a much larger problem that people tend to ignore for which the CDC, the Centers for Disease Control, estimate that so far this season in the United States alone, there have been 22 million cases, 210,000 hospitalizations and 12,000 deaths. This is sort of disease for which there are already effective vaccines and approved drugs. Now to return to the corona virus, the current corona virus infection, the cause of the virus has been identified, it's been sequenced and as I mentioned, has been designated 2019-NCOV, it's a member of one of the four corona virus families so-called beta family that also includes a SARS virus and Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome or MERS virus viruses, which are also in the corona virus family. But as you can see from the above figures, this virus appears to be much more widespread than those outbreaks but substantially less dangerous in terms of mortality. Now as you may know, both Chuck and I have many years of experience in the area of viral disease and viral product development in a number of different academic and commercial settings, and I'm going to ask Chuck to comment briefly in a minute, but before I do let me say that we've been basically tuned into the since the very early days. We've been closely monitoring the situation. We've been speaking with our colleagues who may be involved in the care of these patients ultimately, and we've been evaluating whether the Hemopurifier can offer any benefit to severely affected patients. Fortunately, as noted above, the majority of patients today have not had severe disease. In fact, the corona virus is closely related to viruses that cause diseases that are generally referred to as the common cold. So the majority of patients are not severely infected, or not severely affected. And those with mild disease would never be candidates for treatment with the Hemopurifier, because it is an extracorporeal device that involves taking the blood out of the patient, filtering it through the Hemopurifier and then returning it to the patient, which obviously is an invasive treatment that would only be appropriate for use in life threatening situations. Moreover, it ultimately could be used in any outbreaks such as the current one, who would almost certainly not be an additional frontline treatment. In addition, beyond appropriate severity of disease, two additional considerations would have to be satisfied for the Hemopurifier to be considered for evaluation and deployment here. First, while the company has previously evaluated the ability of benchtop versions of Hemopurifier to bind multiple viruses, including one other member of the corona virus family I mentioned previously, the MERS virus, the currently circulating 2019 and corona virus is not yet widely available for evaluation and therefore, the company does not have data showing whether the Hemopurifier could clear it. It seems likely that it could based on the data that we currently have but unless we have direct data showing that the Hemopurifier could bind it, that would be a necessary although not sufficient precedent for us to deploy it. Second and potentially at least as important, it's unclear at this time whether a virus primarily affects the upper respiratory tract, generating pneumonia, such as this one would in fact be ameliorated by clearance in the circulating blood as the Hemopurifier is designed to do. Remember the Hemopurifier is not directed at the lungs, it’s directed at the bloodstream. And while this virus almost certainly circulates, it's totally unclear whether clearing it from the circulation would have an impact on the pneumonia that ultimately disables and potentially kills patients. Finally, as noted above, this outbreak is still largely in China and I think is likely to remain there, and virtually all of the mortality is in China. So any use of the Hemopurifier, inappropriate patients would based on what we know today, would be focused in China and would additionally require the support of the Chinese regulatory authorities not the FDA. With all these considerations in mind, we tend to monitor the current situation and also the inevitable future outbreaks to come. I think we all understand now that this type of virus is not going to be an isolated case. We've already seen two other deadly corona viruses, the SARS corona virus and the MERS corona virus, we're likely to see additional outbreaks of other corona viruses and many other viruses as time passes, and we're going to deal with these in the same way. We will monitor them. We will look for opportunities to identify situations whether Hemopurifier could be beneficial and intervene as appropriate. So let me stop there and ask Chuck Fisher, our Chairman and a close colleague of mine, to add any comments he may have before we go on to the next part of the call. Chuck?