Sean Boyd
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone, and thank you for participating in our second quarter 2013 conference call. I just like to remind everyone that this presentation contains forward-looking statements. So please be forewarned. Just in terms of a summary of the quarter, in terms of highlights, from a production and operating cost standpoint, we were in line with our expectations and as a result of that, we are still on track to achieve our 2013 full year guidance. Our financial results in the quarter were impacted by, as we've described before, our extended maintenance shutdown in the autoclave and Kittila, but also on concentrate settlement adjustments, which were a bit more severe than we normally experience, given the sharp falloff in the gold and silver price early in the quarter, and that's what caused such a change from what we would normally see with those settlement adjustments. The Kittila autoclave is back running at steady-state levels. Our recoveries were back up almost immediately to the 89% level, so performing extremely well. We did also describe in our press release that we've been undertaking a review of our operations to enhance our financial flexibility and as a result of that review, we've announced a significant reduction in our capital and operating cost, both for 2013 and for 2014, and we're able to do it in a way where it doesn't impact our ability to achieve our 20% growth in production through 2015. Just a description and generally of the reductions in capital operating costs, we're looking at about $50 million in 2013. That would be about half expense and half capital. Of that $50 million, about $20 million would be exploration. The rest is capital and some operating cost savings. In 2014, we're looking for about $200 million in capital cost reductions, principally Meliadine, sustaining capital and some capital that we had originally planned to spend at Kittila and at Goldex. We're also looking for reductions next year in exploration expense of about $50 million, which should be roughly around $20 million in capitalized explorations and about $30 million in expense. We're still going through these numbers. As we go through our budgeting process, we'll be looking for additional savings and efficiencies and optimizations as we go through a detailed budget for next year and also a full review of our life of mine plan at all of our mines. As we said, 2013 was always back-ended in terms of second half production. We're expecting about a 15% increase in production in the second half of 2013 as we have a full 6 months out of our Kittila operation and also a full 6 months at our Creston Mascota, which started about a month ahead of schedule, in the first half of 2013. We're expecting better grades at Meadowbank as we encounter some of the high-grade pockets of mineralization, which we experienced in June and August of last year. We're going to see some of that in the second half of this year. The Goldex development has gone well. We expect startup of Goldex within the next few months, and we're expecting continued great improvement at LaRonde. So as we look forward on a quarterly basis, we're anticipating roughly 260,000, 265,000 ounces per quarter in the second half of 2013. That will rise to about 280,000 per quarter on an annualized basis in 2014 and at around 300,000 ounces per quarter in 2013 on average. So you can see, we can still significantly increase our production as we move forward because the expenditures on these projects, which drive that production growth, have largely been made and the reductions that we have made were in projects that are longer-term. As far as the actual operating results, again, production cost, in line with expectations, which essentially put us on track to achieve our production guidance in 2013. The biggest difference year-on-year and period-to-period was obviously the autoclave maintenance at Kittila. We produced about 5,000 ounces in Q2, and that was down from 43,000 ounces in Q1. So Kittila, on a normalized basis, is producing plus 40,000 ounces a quarter, so that was with the maintenance shutdown. That's why we saw a significant decline in production. As far as the actual financial results, as we discussed, they were impacted by lower commodity prices in the Kittila shut down and also the decline in metal prices. So the concentrates do contain gold. And so with the gold price down $300 in mid-April, those settlements were affected by that, not just the decline in the silver price and the zinc price. As far as the financial position, we had over $100 million in cash. Our long-term debt stood at $850 million. Our maturities, the first payment on our private placement long-term debt is not due until 2017, and that's $115 million. So the balance sheet is strong. We have undrawn under our credit facilities, over $1.1 billion as well. And our 2 principal covenants under our debt arrangements, our net debt-to-EBITDA and a tangible net worth covenant were well within our requirements under our debt facilities. As far as production growth, no change there. We're still expecting 20% production growth through 2015 driven by La India, Goldex, increasing grade at LaRonde and expectation of a robust production coming out of Kittila now the autoclave has been fully realigned and the internal components to that autoclave have been upgraded. As far as our capital, we have traditionally talked about our business along the lines of spending about $600 million a year for the next several years, largely split, sort of $200 million, $250 million on sustaining and the rest on growth projects. Next year, we're looking at spending about $450 million or $400 million, roughly $250 million or so on sustaining the rest on growth projects, and that's a reduction of about $200 million. We should point out that the biggest decline was on Meliadine, but the -- I think what's important is, just as important is the decline in how much we're spending there as the fact of where we're spending it. We are going to continue with our ramp at Meliadine, which allows us to keep that project on the projected timeline for late 2018, assuming we get Board approval about a year from now. So that was important for us to keep moving that project forward. We continue to get good grade results there. So it's not just the reduction, but how we've allocated and focused the smaller amount of capital that we have planned to allocate to our business. I'll move through the operations quite quickly. LaRonde is on track to get to its cooling plant infrastructure in place by the end of the year. That will improve our operating flexibility in the mine as we move forward in the next year and beyond and allowing us to open up the lower part of that mine where we're seeing a higher-grade material. About 60% of our ore in the quarter came from the lower mine, and that should increase as we move forward. And as we get into 2016, we should be drilling principally all of our ore from the lower level, allowing us to mine at or above the reserve grade. The biggest reason for the increase in cash cost at LaRonde was really the significant decline in byproduct revenue, both from a pricing standpoint and also from a production standpoint. In the second half, we should see production increase at LaRonde by about 7% to 8%, just driven by the grades. Lapa, another steady quarter. In terms of production and cost, still on track to do its production this year. We've had some interesting drill results, but that mine is still slated to close within about 3 years, but we'll continue to drill it. We've got, I would say, a reasonable drill program there, following up on targets. We've seen some of the best totals we've seen in a while there at that property. So they certainly do warrant follow-up, given the infrastructure that we have in place at Lapa. At Kittila, we talked about that. Essentially we are operational. The plant was operational for 14 days out of the quarter, and that's why production was only 5,000 ounces. And as we've said earlier, throughput and recoveries are back to a steady state, with recoveries at 89% level. Our expansion plans are also on track, where we're looking to increase our throughput by 20% up to 3,750 tonnes per day by the second half of 2015. In Mexico, our unit costs were up a bit, and that was largely the result of a roughly 20% decline in realized silver prices in the quarter. The Pinos Altos mine produces a significant amount of silver, but from an operating standpoint, we're achieving our cost targets. In terms of cost per tonne, we're also achieving our production targets, and we had our Creston Mascota heap leach operations come back on line about a month earlier than schedule. So we expect a stronger second half in Mexico due to the fact that we're anticipating a full 6 months of production coming out of the recently started up Creston Mascota heap leach operation. At Meadowbank, we continue to make good strides in our cost-reduction programs. Our cost per tonne in the quarter was $83. I think you'll recall, those numbers were closer to $100 in the past, so the team has done a really good job of managing its overall cost structure. We have had an ability to increase both the mining rate and the processing rate there. In the quarter, we processed over 11,000 tonnes per day. That resulted in production of over 90,000 ounces. And as we've said, the fact that we've got the plant operating at those levels with the benefit of having higher-grade components of the open pit available to us in the second half, we expect an extremely strong second half coming out of the Meadowbank operation. On our development projects, La India is going extremely well. We are on track for our commissioning in the fourth quarter of this year the project is on budget. We're well advanced on construction. We actually have a site visit there in September. Actually, 2 visits on the front and back end of the Denver Gold show, so we're going to be looking forward to showing off the progress that we've made at one of our new mines in Mexico. At Goldex, also going well. We're expecting commercial production in the fourth quarter of 2013. We continue to work on additional studies. There's a number of satellite zones there. What we were hoping to do well along was get the M and E Zone restarted, establish a production base and then make decision subsequent to that on the satellite zones that surrounds the GE bed deposits. So things have gone well and we look for more upside to that project as we move forward. On Meliadine, we continue to drill. We've continued to encounter good drill results, which is not a surprise to us. It's a prolific deposit. There's lots of gold in the system. But as we look at the volatile nature of the gold market, we felt it was prudent to ensure we have sufficient financial flexibility in our business. And as a result, we decided to reduce our capital spend at Meliadine from around $125 million from the original plan down to $45 million. But I think what's important is, that $45 million is essentially for the ramp, so we're continuing the ramp development to open up the ore body, access the deposit, and that leaves us flexibility in the schedule that if our Board gives approval to the project, about a year from now, we can still meet the start up date of late 2018. So just in summary, one of our objectives in the past quarter was to review our business, look at ways that we can reduce costs, improve financial flexibility, while still being able to deliver on our production growth objectives that we laid out earlier this year through 2015, we'll see a 20% increase in our output. So we've been able to do that from both ends on the cross side and also on the production side as we advance to La India and Goldex. So operator, I'd like to leave it at that, and I'd like to open it up for questions.