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Aehr Test Systems (AEHR)

Q1 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 10, 2024

$81.69

-7.67%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the Aehr Test Systems Fiscal 2025 First Quarter Financial Results Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Jim Byers at MKR Investor Relations. You may begin.

Jim Byers

Analyst

Thank you, Operator. Good afternoon and welcome to Aehr Test Systems’ First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. With me on today's call are Aehr Test Systems President and Chief Executive Officer, Gayn Erickson, and CFO, Chris Siu. Before I turn the call over to Gayn and Chris, I'd like to cover a few quick items this afternoon after market closed. Aehr Test issued a press release announcing its first quarter fiscal 2025 results. That release is available on the company's website at aehr.com. This call is also being broadcast live over the Internet for all interested parties and the webcast will be archived on the Investor Relations page of Aehr's website. I'd like to remind everyone that on today's call, management will be making forward-looking statements today that are based on current information and estimates and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. These factors that may cause results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are discussed in the company's most recent periodic and current reports filed with the SEC. These forward-looking statements, including guidance provided during today's call, are only valid as of this date and Aehr Test Systems undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements. And now I'd like to turn the conference call over to Gayn Erickson, President and CEO.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst

Thanks Jim. Good afternoon everyone and welcome to our first quarter fiscal 2025 earnings conference call. Thanks for joining us today. Just as a heads up, we do these live and I managed to have a cough with a little bit of a tickle, so I don't think I'm going to be able to get through with -- all of this without coughing but if I'm good I'll hit the mute button and you won't catch them, but I apologize if I cough in the middle here. I'd like to start with a quick summary of the highlights of the quarter and spend some time giving an update on what we're seeing across the key markets, areas addressing for semiconductor test and burn-in, including increasing traction in some new markets. I also plan to spend a little time on our latest expansion in the burn-in market with our acquisition of Incal Technology this last quarter. Then Chris will go over the financials in more detail and after that we'll open up the lines to take your questions. We finished the first quarter with revenue and non-GAAP net income ahead of consensus estimates and are off to a good start to our fiscal year. Silicon carbide wafer level burn-in test systems and full wafer contactors are poised to be a key contributor to revenue against this year. But we're also forecasting material bookings and revenue contributions from several other markets this fiscal year, as we're successfully executing on our strategy to expand our test and burn-in products into other large and fast growing markets such as artificial intelligence processors, gallium nitride power semiconductor, hard disk drive components, and flash memory devices. My plan is to cover each of these markets beginning with the wafer level test and burn-in for silicon carbide…

Chris Siu

Analyst

Thank you, Gayn. Before I turn to a review of our financial results, I'd like to note that over the past 12 months, Aehr has invested financial and human resources in improving our own infrastructure to support the continued growth of our business. We recently went live with a new enterprise resource planning system in September. That will provide more sophisticated functionalities and capabilities to support decision-making and compliance. We expand our policies and procedures in various functions to provide more internal control and structure. We have made improvements in our supply chain and engage with contract manufacturers that offer more value-added quality components and services to support our growth. I would like to thank our teams for their dedication and strong execution. With a more robust infrastructure in place, we're more ready than ever to support both our organic and inorganic growth. Also, as Gayn noted, the integration of our Incal acquisition, which closed on July 31 is progressing well. Our plan is to consolidate personnel and manufacturing into Aehr Fremont facility by the end of the fiscal year, with the upgrade and the remodeling of our Fremont headquarters underway. We are ensuring our facility infrastructure meets the needs of both companies. Now turning to our Q1 performance, which included one month of financial results from the Incal's acquisition. Our Q1 results exceeded analysts' consensus on both the top and bottom-lines. Under the current challenging market and macroeconomic environment, first quarter revenue was $13.1 million, down 36% from $20.6 million in Q1 last year. Demand for our WaferPaks contributed to the majority of our total revenue in the first quarter. WaferPak revenues came in at $12.1 million and accounted for 92% of our total revenue in the first quarter, significantly higher than 55% of the prior year's first quarter…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time we will be conducting question-and-answer. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Christian Schwab with Craig-Hallum. Please proceed.

Christian Schwab

Analyst

Hi. This is Christian. Gayn, so can you -- on the silicon carbide, the additional commentary about getting two additional customers this year. Are these customers that you've been working with in the past? And alongside that, can you give us an idea of how you would anticipate that ramping in near term and then over time? I mean, could they become as material as your current largest customer in silicon carbide.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst

Okay. Sure. Yes, it's actually some of the same old story of some of the folks that were -- we anticipated would have bought their first systems last spring really. That we're now -- basically, the ramps and decision time lines have pushed. So I'd say 2 or 3 of those are actually sort of the same guys that's just kind of a year later. But there is also 2, I think in our forecast anyhow or high likely to forecast that are -- were not anticipated last year that have come online over the last -- we've been working with them over the last, say, three to six months, engaged in paper benchmarks and other financial things that are also looking very good. So I wouldn't ask you to go say I'm going to win 6 new customers, but there is the potential for it. The interesting thing is what it feels like from probably their end markets, why they all feel similar is everyone seems to be talking about putting like first tools in place, somewhere between the end -- literally at the very end of this year till I don't know, spring time frame to maybe May, kind of within our fiscal year, which we think that wind feels like it's maybe one or two systems. And then they ramp into the fall based upon a number of the EV data center, even maybe some potential solar wins that are driving capacity by that time frame. And that aligns with the physical buildings. One of the things that was going on about a year ago is there's sort of this excitement. I'll use that word around how fast everything is going to be adopted. I'm looking at a land of dirt, and it's like that building is not going to ship MOSFETs next year. I don't know what people are thinking, but it's too aggressive. Now the forecast seem to align with the physical buildings with the OEMs that are describing which cars they're going into, et cetera and are still forecasting those cars moving forward. And this includes OEMs that include China, other Asia, Korea, US and particularly European suppliers. So I hope that helped to explain it.

Christian Schwab

Analyst

I guess it still wasn't clear to me five of your potential or six potential customers, can you give us like real color --.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst

Yes, the size. You're right. I forgot to say that. I didn't -- I actually didn't mean to drop that. So I would say one of the things that -- and you heard it in my prepared remarks, it's very -- and I have been constant at these public conferences. Vernon has been asked to speak as well. We have tested enough wafers. I mean we've tested more silicon carbide customers' wafers than anyone by far to where we have a huge cross-section of data, and we just simply make the statement that if you want to do automotive quality down to sub-part per million failure rates of these things, you need to do an extended burn-in, not just a simple screen that's measured in ours. And I would say that each of the customers that we're talking to right now, that's what they're saying. They're all talking about these extended multi-hour 6, 12 plus even up to 24 to begin with our burn-in times that would be consistent with the automotive guys, and it's been repeated by the OEMs as a critical requirement. So with that, you can do the same modeling that we did before, which is, okay it's a wafer fab. It has 4,000 wafer starts per week, let's say, or whatever it is and you multiple -- you say it's got, say, 6 or 12 or 18-hour burn-in time and 18 wafers. So these are customers that have the potential to buy significant volumes perhaps even as big as our biggest customer to begin with. We also believe that our largest customer is doing extremely well in the market and is going to grow substantially, both in capacity and design wins over the next several years. So they seem to be doing very, very well in the market.

Christian Schwab

Analyst

Okay. I guess this is my second last question. On the AI processor opportunity, I know last quarter, you highlighted, of course this is not in that you're dealing with. But can you give us any type of color there given a 10% customer is fantastic, that's only like $7 million worth of sales. Some kind of thinking that, that should be a much more substantial number than that over time. But maybe you can give us a little bit of color of the open-ended opportunity there.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst

Yes. So we can track the units. We understand the test time. The test times processors are quite long. We know it's 100% burn-in. And we know and can track failures and see what's going on and there are some interesting tricks and things that are being -- that are going on there. So the data is all supporting the capability and feasibility of doing wafer-level burn-in. And we can see -- and now candidly, through the Incal acquisition where we are testing a large number of AI processor, you can see what they're testing and why they're testing it. No one's getting out of burn-in of AI processors anytime soon. So we're -- we haven't given any more color related to which of the processor guys it is. We have said -- we did simply said it's not NVIDIA because it just would be unfair to throw that around and how people imply that. But it’s a revenue-generating AI processor company today, okay? And it is certainly -- it's currently different than any of Incal’s customers. That doesn't help you because I haven't told you who they are either. But we've actually had 1 -- in one of the conversations we had with one of the Incal customers that are currently testing AI processors on their systems. They lean forward and we're super interested to hear more about our wafer level burn-in, which is not a surprise to us. And so I think that there'll be a mix, and we're not picking sides. There is some real advantages of moving the AI processor and ultimately, the DRAM to wafer level. But there's also some real challenges with it depending on customers and test modes, et cetera. And so we can serve them with the package part burn-in capabilities of…

Christian Schwab

Analyst

Great. You bet. No other questions. Thank you.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst

Okay, thanks. Operator? We caught him sleeping, hello?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Jed Dorsheimer with William Blair. Please proceed.

Jed Dorsheimer

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Hi. Yeah, thanks for taking the questions, Gayn and Chris. I guess first question Gayn. Thanks for the clarity. And Chris, thanks for the breakdown for the year. On the Aehr business, I haven't seen previously you would press release wins. And I know that you did on the WaferPak that kind of flowed through this quarter. But I was wondering, in the $16 million of backlog, could you give any further detail in terms of the contribution of mix there as we haven't seen any press releases that -- to get an idea of what that constitutes. Thanks.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Yes. I'm going to take a pass on that right now. I get it, Jed. I understand. We haven't -- in fact, for those -- someone had to have noticed, I think this is the first quarter in eight quarters, we didn't do the effective backlog. I don't know if everybody else noticed. We're really struggling with that. We kind of cornered ourselves here in that the only press release we did this quarter was the Sonoma production system, right? And we quantified it. We said it was six systems. Then as we went to look at the backlog and the breakdown, it was like, oh, it highlighted too much you can imply that most of the backlog -- the incremental sales in the month were from that. And so we just chickened out and said, we're not going to say it because we simply don't want to triangulate and give precise data to our competitors to their competitors, et cetera, because actually in the industry, people sort of figured out who it was. So I apologize for that. But specifically in the Aehr business, if you will we have been -- material orders we have been press releasing. The materiality is kind of increasing, as we've been getting more and more WaferPak orders coming in that don't seem to press release out of that. We're still trying to balance that. I would consider any new production wins, as we are forecasting material and we will announce it. Again, we'll either typically give you a price and be vague about the quantity or give you the quantity and be vague about the price just sort of as a process rule. But I will share that actually a reasonable chunk of that backlog is from Incal. And Incal's forecast is looking, I'll call it, in the bag if and with a reasonable amount of upside we'll see as we get closer. But they have much longer lead times than us. We'll probably tighten that up a little bit, but they typically have about a six month lead time. And so everything for this quarter is in backlog, for example, in fact some of the next quarter is already in backlog for those guys, whereas Aehr tends to run much shorter lead times and the result of that is you have a little less visibility. And I think they're probably better off than us, but the customers do like our short lead times.

Jed Dorsheimer

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Got it. That's helpful. I guess maybe, and I know you don't want to give more, but let me just ask it anyways. If I look at the WaferPak, which was all of the product revenue in the quarter, do you see a more balanced in this current quarter? Is it more balanced with respect to system leaving Incal aside--.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Yes, yes. Yes, for sure for sure. Yes. And they shift towards non-SiC systems, too, which is pretty fun, right? So not -- we'll start seeing – we are forecasting some of the other areas. It is actually -- I mean, we really never were only about silicon carbide. It was just fantastic. We still love it. We still love that market. But the other markets are heating up and consuming much of every single day for us, candidly.

Jed Dorsheimer

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Got it. And then -- what's your attach rate on the auto -- what do you expect the attach rate for automated aligners with the systems. Do you see that as --.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Yes. That's -- we were actually just discussing that today. It's still a mix. Customers -- we have customers that are forecasting systems with manual aligners still. I personally love the automated aligner, but cost a little bit more. And you can have an automated aligner that is offline to feed multiple chambers or you can have an automated aligner that is integrated with the system. And then we have several customers that are forecasting fully integrated. Absolutely positively. Nobody can do anything. I don't want to touch it, lights out operations. So it is a mix going forward. And by the way, by contrast to two years ago, it was all manual, right? And I'd say, as we go forward, I feel like it should be more than half would be automated aligners, but kind of there's still some customers that are talking about manual aligners.

Jed Dorsheimer

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Okay. And I'll just keep going with a couple more here, if you don't mind. What's the mix in -- for your silicon carbide visibility or expectations between 150 millimeter versus 200 millimeter?

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Well, we have a lot of 200-millimeter wafers that we're testing today. Vernon might tell you, we've tested -- anyone who's made a 200-millimeter silicon carbide wafer has been tested in this facility and most likely at their facility on our equipment, if that helps you with some hints. Of course, we haven't told you who they are. I think our data seems pretty consistent with what's out there. There are 200-millimeter wafers, they're coming out. It's still the dominant is the 150-millimeter wafers. We think that 200-millimeter will become more and more, particularly in 2025. And from our system, for people listening, the FOX system itself can test all size wafers, 4, 6, 8 and 12-inch or if you're so inclined 100, 150, 200 and 300-millimeter. The WaferPak can work with any of them. We can actually design -- in the same system, you can be testing 150-millimeter silicon carbide and 200-millimeter carbide. You just had to design the WaferPak contactor for the bigger wafer, okay, or the smaller wafer. So it's sort of a don't care to us, and we wouldn't have as much visibility, as a tool supplier who only sells 200 or 150 and they are make or break. The customers, it's probably not as dramatic for us. So it's coming. I would probably leave it to you guys to have better visibility of exactly when the cutover is.

Jed Dorsheimer

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Got it. And then last question for me on -- historically, new customers have tended to purchase a FOX-NP for evaluation before switching over to the XP and we haven't seen many NPs leave the docks. So what are your expectations on some of the -- on the ramp of these new customers, both in the silicon carbide as well as in other applications in terms of how that cadence will look.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

I think 4 of the next 5 customers start with XPs. Yes. So it's interesting. So they're kind of skipping it in some cases. Now I could be wrong, folks, and we like -- I mean they co-exist. But yes, I mean I think Vernon's got some quotes out to people that just say, I'm just going right to an XP.

Jed Dorsheimer

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Got it. Sorry, last one, promise. Is that because you do the testing -- you've been -- I know you have this program where you have that dedicated room where you do some in-house testing for your customers. Do you think that's what's shortened? Or do you think it's a greater comfort around that process?

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Both, honestly. But both for sure. I mean, we're testing their wafers. Some of those people, we've been testing it for, god knows, forever, right? We've done full characterization, process control. We've done qualifications, the whole thing. They kind of -- they're like, all right, skip it, let's go, we get it now. So there's a level of comfort and us testing the wafers has a lot to do with it.

Jed Dorsheimer

Analyst · William Blair. Please proceed.

Appreciate all the color Gayn. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Matthew Winthrop with Equitable. Please proceed.

Matt Winthrop

Analyst · Equitable. Please proceed.

Hi, Gayn. How are you sir.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · Equitable. Please proceed.

I’m good sir. Congratulations on all the excitement in your outlook. I had a quick question. I was looking at last quarter's release, and you always make a point of saying a customer or a large customer of ours, you [don't] (ph) usually mention names. And there is this sentence I've thought about where you say optical I/O or co-packaged optics for companies like NVIDIA, AMD and Intel, which have all had discussions, blah, blah. You never use names like that or haven't at least in years, and I know you're not alluding that they're a direct customer of yours, and you probably touched upon this with your meetings. But I was wondering a quarter later, can you expand on that? Is that from the new acquisition of Incal or what – thank you.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · Equitable. Please proceed.

Okay. So the context and what we've said in there for people that are listening in is one of the areas, and we -- in fact, on this conference call, this is probably the first time in many quarters, I didn't have a subsection on silicon photonics. so silicon photonics is more than just putting a laser on a piece of silicon. It is actually the entire photonics engine for communication. And folks like IBM and Intel have literally worked on this for 20 years to 30 years because silicon or electrical transmission line or electronics can only go so fast. There are physical limitations because atoms actually have mass to them. And we're within approximately a generation. We are running at, say, 200-gigabit transmission rates or 112 to -- in this range, you are at a point where you actually cannot make the electronics go any faster. So people have anticipated that the bandwidth requirements of communication and data would get to a point where you are bandwidth limited. You literally couldn't make the transmission line faster or smaller or what? The answer has always been fiber optic transmission or photonics-based. But the practicality and the cost of that had never really been coming together. Intel was one of the most visible companies who now, what six years ago, finally figured out to sort of on a wafer scale come out with a complete silicon photonics engine that would allow them to make the entire transceiver, if you will in a chip, okay? And that chip, they started by putting into fiber optic transceivers, fiber optic clips and data centers. They successfully did that because of the semiconductor performance, if you will. And there's other companies that are trying to do or doing similar types of things. Okay? And…

Matt Winthrop

Analyst · Equitable. Please proceed.

Terrific. So suffice it to say, this concept is not -- when you announced -- you're reaffirming guidance for the year, this is all maybe someday in the future. So this is a potential up five maybe --.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · Equitable. Please proceed.

I definitely say this. I mean, no one's asked me, I'll just -- I'll cough it up. We actually have very little silicon photonics revenue this fiscal year. I think we have a bunch of WaferPak and a bunch of design-related things. But I think currently, we have very little capacity. But we are -- we've had some requests and we've asked for lead times and things like that. We could actually ship a number of systems or upgrades of systems still in the fiscal year. it's the upside or downside of all the inventory we bought candidly, but we have the -- and the capacity of being able to build all these systems if a customer says, hey, could you ship me one in a month? The answer is yes. There's pros and cons to that, right? That means they can wait a month to ask, right? But I feel really good about our position.

Matt Winthrop

Analyst · Equitable. Please proceed.

Okay. Thank you sir.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst · Equitable. Please proceed.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Okay. It looks like we have no further questions in queue. You’re very welcome. I'd like to turn it back to management for closing remarks.

Gayn Erickson

Analyst

All right. Do you think we missed anything, Chris, we may cover. Okay. So folks, thank you very much. I really appreciate it for people joining in. And as always, if you're near, we always invite you to come by. It's a little hectic and messy around here right now as we're doing some basic construction and things like that. But we still have customers coming through. We've -- I think there are three or four this week. We have another one tomorrow. So we'll invite you in if you happen to be in the Silicon Valley. We'd love to host you -- if not – maybe we’ll see at one of the trade shows or the investor conferences, and we look forward to giving you an update on the quarter as things go at the next quarter event. Take care.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.