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ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Aug 5, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Kate, and I will be your conference operator. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to ADTRAN Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Mr. Peter Schuman, Vice President, Investor Relations, you may begin your conference call.

Peter Schuman

Analyst

Thank you, Kate. Welcome, and thank you for joining us today for ADTRAN Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, and welcome to all those joining by webcast. During the conference call, ADTRAN representatives will make forward-looking statements that reflect management's best judgment based on factors currently known. However, these statements involve risks and uncertainties, including those detailed in our earnings release, our annual report on Form 10-K as amended, and other filings with the SEC. These risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from those in our forward-looking statements, which may be made during the call. We undertake no obligation to update any statements to reflect events that occur after this call. During today's call, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP measures and certain additional information are also included in our investor presentation and our earnings release. We have not provided reconciliations of our third quarter 2025 outlook with regard to non-GAAP operating margin because we cannot predict and quantify without unreasonable effort all the adjustments that may occur during the period. The Investor Relations presentation has been updated and is available for download on the ADTRAN Investor Relations website. Turning to the agenda. Tom Stanton, ADTRAN Holdings' CEO and Chairman of the Board, will provide the key investment highlights for the second quarter 2025. Tim Santo, our Senior Vice President and CFO, will review the quarterly financial performance in detail and provide our third quarter 2025 outlook, and then we will take any questions that you may have. I'd now like to turn the call over to Tom Stanton.

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst

Thank you, Peter. Good morning, everyone. ADTRAN delivered solid second quarter results, marked by stronger revenue performance, healthy profitability and continued balance sheet improvements. As previously disclosed in our pre-announcement, revenue exceeded our expectations with sequential and year-over-year growth across all 3 of our revenue categories. This performance reflects strong execution and market share gains, coupled with an improving industry backdrop driven by renewed infrastructure investment, the normalization of service provider spending and growing demand for advanced fiber and optical solutions. Importantly, cash generation remained healthy with $32.2 million in cash from operations and $18.3 million in free cash flow. I'm encouraged by the improving demand environment across our key market segments. These demand trends not only supported our strong Q2 performance but also increased our confidence in our outlook for continued growth over the coming quarters. Turning to the quarterly results. ADTRAN's revenue of $265.1 million was above the high end of our previous guidance range. All 3 revenue categories delivered sequential growth. And for the second straight quarter, each revenue category generated year-over-year gains. This broad-based momentum reinforces the strong competitive positioning of our optical transport, fiber access and subscriber solutions portfolios. As expected, the highest sequential revenue growth in the quarter came from our optical networking solutions, which grew 22% year-over-year and 15% sequentially. This growth was driven by demand in both the U.S. and non-U.S. regions with the most significant gains coming from our U.S. service provider customers. New customer acquisition also remained strong with 18 new optical customers added during the quarter, including several cross-selling wins, further validating the synergies with our optical transport and fiber access portfolios. There are multiple application demand drivers fueling the investment in optical networks. These include the build-out of private compute infrastructure, the expansion of wholesale service providers to…

Timothy P. Santo

Analyst

Thank you, Tom, and thank you for joining us this morning. As I shared last quarter, my focus remains on 3 key priorities: strengthening our capital structure, enhancing the capabilities of the finance organization and deepening our engagement with stakeholders. These are fundamental to delivering long-term sustainable value for our stockholders. We are making solid progress across each of these areas. First, we are taking meaningful steps to improve our capital structure. We generated $32.2 million in operating cash and $18.3 million in free cash flow this quarter with $106 million of cash available on our balance sheet. We are advancing efforts to raise capital through the sale of noncore assets, including our Huntsville campus, which I will speak further shortly. Meanwhile, availability on our revolving credit facility has more than doubled and will continue to expand as we grow non-GAAP EBIT and accelerate our free cash flow. Second, we've strengthened our financial organization through strategic additions to my senior leadership team. These hires improve our ability to manage the complexities of our current structure and support execution. We will continue investing in talent to ensure finance remains a strategic asset of our business. Finally, we've deepened our engagement with external stakeholders. We've expanded participation in investor and industry conferences and are pursuing broader research coverage. We remain committed to transparency, listening and increased accessibility as we execute our strategy, and we will continue to expand over the coming quarters. With that, let's take a look at the financial results for the second quarter of 2025. ADTRAN's second quarter performance reflects an improving industry environment and our ability to deliver strong operating results. We are adding new customers and expanding our presence with existing ones, driving market share gains, and we are continuing to scale our business. ADTRAN delivered second…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Ryan Koontz with Needham & Company.

Ryan Boyer Koontz

Analyst

Nice results there. You had some real strength in your large SPs. I assume that's coming from Europe. And Tom, can you kind of maybe lay out kind of the trends you're seeing there, either in some of your larger existing accounts or some of the new ones you're actively ramping in Europe?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst

Yes, sure. First of all, you're right, there was a lot of strength in Europe. And yes, I mean, the large accounts did well. But we also saw strength specifically in optical in the U.S. large service providers as well. So that was kind of, that was good to see. In general, the strength there is just, the momentum there is just continuing to grow. I mean we really don't see any slowdown. We think that the German carriers are getting, or German customer is getting stronger and more able to deploy. What's going on in the U.K., I think you're aware of is continuing to really kind of beat where we had hoped it to be. So, it's just continuing to move upward. The market itself is continuing to move towards, let's say, more and more towards making sure that they have the right vendor base, right, and removing Eastern vendors. We announced a win last quarter, and I think we called it a Southern European, it was in Italy. And we actually, that was, that's been quick. So, we've actually started shipping towards the tail end of that quarter, some optical gear to that customer as well. So yes, I would say everything looked positive.

Ryan Boyer Koontz

Analyst

That's great. And maybe another kind of business topic here around data centers, which you talked about in the prepared remarks. When we were at OFC, we heard a little bit about emerging DCI opportunities and this concept of MFA networks where the big cloud providers are contracting local SPs to build. Can you update us on that? Are you seeing that as an important trend? Is it meaningful at this point? And how would you characterize that opportunity for you?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst

Yes. There is a host of different RFPs out there right now with service providers who are -- and some of these are actually customer- driven. So some of these are, you may have a big ICP come in and saying that they want to be able to cover this. Then there are others that are just kind of more opportunistic and trying to make sure that their network is ready. But there's a ton of activity. I would say we have won some business there, but I would say it's still early that there's just a lot of activity right now.

Ryan Boyer Koontz

Analyst

Got it. Great. And maybe just one last, if I could, on the balance sheet. Look, there were some redemptions of ADVA shares. How should we be, how should investors think about that relative to your expectations?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst

Yes. Let me touch on that and see if there's anything else to add to it, Tim. But about half of that was actually we disclosed last quarter and then half of that was this quarter disclosure. And in that case, it was the same person. We have been in discussions with them for quarters. And I would say it was very; it was very well managed. And it was, I think we were glad to be able to get those shares back at the price that we were able to get those shares back at. Anything else, Tim?

Timothy P. Santo

Analyst

I'd just say that that was largely an orderly transaction. Again, we're in contact with these investors. And done in an orderly way, it reduces the shares outstanding, which long term is a very positive thing.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Genovese with Rosenblatt Securities.

Michael Edward Genovese

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities.

Tom, you mentioned a couple of times in the script, you talked about market share gains. So, could we just double-click on that and get some more thoughts on what you're seeing there?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities.

Yes. So, you know what's going on in Europe. And I would say there's probably nothing big there that changed other than the Italian one that we brought on. We picked up market share in the, I'll call it, the Tier 2 space, but the kind of competitive carrier space here in the U.S. as we won some additional optical business. About, I'm going to guess here about 50% of that new business was where we added a customer that was buying either optical or fiber access and then they joined on with buying the other piece that they were not buying. And that was really good to see because that was kind of the premise of the acquisition that we did 3 quarters ago or 3 years ago. Tier 2, Tier 3s, we added somewhere around 10 or 11 carriers during the quarter just for fiber access alone. And I mentioned we added 20 customers on the subscriber space. The majority of those were carriers. And then the next largest segment was in government municipalities. So that space, as you are aware, continues to be very active.

Michael Edward Genovese

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities.

Great. And then if I go back a couple of quarters ago on your reporting, there was a big emphasis on operating leverage. And then last quarter, we had the ForEx pop up, but it sounds like you're hedging that again or hedging that out now. So, I guess my question is, are we going to start, do you expect to start talking about operating leverage again as being a key part of the story? Because again, we had that thread and it kind of got lost and I've been waiting for it to come back. So, any thoughts on that issue would be helpful.

Timothy P. Santo

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities.

I think I'll highlight just on the ForEx side; it was generally EPS neutral because we are largely naturally hedged. What I'm working on internally with our bank groups and with some of our advisers is a hedging strategy that keeps it that way. The challenge is you do see some volatility in the individual line items. Again, back to FX, I'm sorry, OpEx. If you back out the impact of currency, we're largely flat. But at an EPS level, it was neutral to slightly positive for the company. So, what we really want to do is hedge against any changes, further changes in the U.S. dollar, which is active strategy. Ideally, what I have is a constant currency model, which, again, I've been here a quarter. So, we're still working some things internally and building out some additional capabilities within my team. But with a constant currency reporting, there will be more transparency to the true impact of FX and the benefits of our hedging strategies.

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities.

And just on a percentage basis, right, we are starting to see that this quarter. If you take a look at the midpoint of our guidance on our EBIT, you'll see that that's moving up from where we ended up and where we were guiding to last quarter. So, I think we're right at that tipping point now to where you'll start seeing that leverage, FX or no FX, you'll see that leverage. So, we're, we don't want to get too ahead on what we're projecting because things happen. But I would say we're right at that point right now.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Christian Schwab with Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Christian David Schwab

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Just a follow-up on the currency question in the hedging, you've assumed constant currency. Can you just tell us about your assumption for the dollar to euro exchange rate for the quarter, what you're assuming it will be until all your hedge strategies are in place?

Timothy P. Santo

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Well, again, on an EPS basis, we're largely naturally hedged. So, I expect on an EPS basis, us to remain relatively neutral. We are net positioning a strong improvement in the dollar, but no material movements in the next 3 months.

Christian David Schwab

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Great. And then my second question is regarding the U.S. revenue strength. Are you guys benefiting this quarter? And do you anticipate benefiting in the second half of the year due to the bankruptcy of DZS?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Yes. We right off of the bat started getting calls. We've started shipping to multiple customers now in the U.S. predominantly in the U.S. I think we have some international business as well, but that's affected, that will be a positive movement for us, both on the OLT side, on the infrastructure side as well as on the subscriber side. It already has been. It's already started impacting us.

Christian David Schwab

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

And could you quantify that opportunity over multiple quarters to come or the positive impact that you received this quarter?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

I don't really have that number. That's getting pretty granular. I would say across the business, it's probably in the $10-ish million, but that's when it is all rolling. But some of these things are still competitive. They're going out to RFP. Some of them, we have interoperable products. So, we're an easy plug-in. So, where people were really in a bind, they kind of called us. But yes, I mean, I wouldn't, it's, I would say it's probably material, but it's not overly so.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of George Notter with Wolfe Research.

George Charles Notter

Analyst · Wolfe Research.

Tim, I think you mentioned your efforts on the sale of the East Tower. It sounds like from your comments that, that's, you've had a particular buyer kind of walk away from the process. Is that correct? And what do you think the outlook is for getting a transaction done there?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Wolfe Research.

Yes. Let me start with the first piece, and then I'll turn it back over to Tim. We didn't have a buyer walk away. We had a buyer that has been slow to close. So, they are still actively trying to get their side of the deal done. But based off of the timing differential, we're now looking at offering it to other people. And before that, for a period of time, we were not. We had taken it off and we're trying to close a deal. That's still an active negotiation, but we are now looking at other offers as well. Tim, anything you want to add to that.

Timothy P. Santo

Analyst · Wolfe Research.

I'd just say we're, exactly. We are under an exclusivity period. We were, we have an ink deal, but there's contingencies that have kept us from moving that forward, and those remain in place. We're tired as you are with some of these things moving. So, it's a unique property. It's a tough property, but it's a gorgeous property. So, we're not willing to give the property away for an amount that's at a fire sale, and we're also very selfishly aware of who's going to be our neighbor. So, we're working with some new parties to help us remarket the facility in parallel. And also, I mentioned, reexploring with our renewed strength and capital position, a sale-leaseback transaction on the East Tower.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Tim Savageaux with Northland Capital Markets.

Timothy Paul Savageaux

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

Congrats on the outlook, in particular, and some of that operating leverage that you're starting to show. And along those lines, I think you mentioned an expectation for subscriber solutions to grow in Q3, but I'd be looking for any other color from a segment or geographic perspective about where you expect that sequential growth to come from?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

I can follow up from there. Yes. So, we explicitly, you're right, I explicitly did point out subscriber solutions, and that's just backlog in that area continues to grow. So, we kind of have more visibility as to what we expect there. Optical will probably have a very strong quarter as well. That business and that backlog continues to grow. And Access continues. Backlog is probably not as big because we do have lumpy order patterning, but yes, it's positive. I mean the business itself is definitely trending positive. I don't, our visibility, as you know, is usually the strongest in the next quarter and then it gets a little weaker and a little weaker. All of the signs that we have right now are looking upwards. So yes, and I would say across all the product segments. Probably the strongest single area right now is optical because they have the most ground to make up. They had the inventory depletion cure itself the latest. At this point in time, I would say it's cured, and we're just seeing strong activity there. Did that answer your question, hopefully?

Timothy Paul Savageaux

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

Sure did. And leads very well into the next one, which is, Tom, you've mentioned or maybe both of you guys have mentioned continued momentum in the second half in terms of revenues and cash flow. I mean, should we take that as implying an expectation for continued sequential growth into Q4? You do, at times, have some seasonal headwinds there. I know it's early, but I want to see if I'm interpreting that positive correctly.

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

Yes. I'm going to, we don't give, as you know, guidance past the quarter, but I would say the momentum is strong enough to where I would not be surprised if we were to overcome any seasonal patterns at this point.

Timothy Paul Savageaux

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

Great. And maybe last one for me. You did see a good amount of sequential growth in the U.S. this quarter, and I've talked about that to some degree. But should we, I guess, to what extent should we associate that with inventory burning off versus maybe some of the new wins you announced last quarter with the Tier 2s in the U.S. Or what mix of factors would you say is driving that U.S. growth in particular?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

Yes. I think you literally hit the mix. I think we did win some Tier 3s as well, but they tend to be smaller buyers. So, you have to really have a big mass. And I would say we don't have a big mass yet. Tier 2s can move the needle. They have started buying our optical products as well. So, it was Tier 2s and the Tier 1s here in the U.S. are probably are what drove the most. Enterprise also did good, but those 2 drove the most, I'm trying to think of the numbers. Those 2 definitely had the biggest impact.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Bill Dezellem with Tieton Capital.

William Joseph Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital.

Relative to the strength that you were talking about really around the globe, are you able to either rank or kind of highlight what's the true driver between the expanding bandwidth, the AI, the data centers, vendor replacement. There are all these factors that I think you've highlighted are favorable contributors. But are there 1 or 2 that are truly the meaningful drivers?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Tieton Capital.

I would say the biggest driver right now is upgrade of the network, at least for us, right, is upgrade of the network for residential broadband. That's driving the biggest piece of our kind of revenue growth over the last few quarters. The next biggest driver, it gets, optical returning to normality would definitely be the next one. And I would tell you, like I said, we're expecting a strong second half there. That, in that normality, it's not just normality, it's new application wins. So, I mentioned we won some in Europe. We won some additional projects in Europe that include 5G densification, for instance, which is kind of nice to see. And then we're seeing some of the work and have won some business around kind of getting just general bandwidth upgrades and some of that is AI-driven. So, it's kind of hard, optical is multiple different things affecting optical. But, so if you would just let me just say fiber-to-the-prem plus optical, that would be the right answer because the fiber-to-the-premise is also affecting our subscriber business, of course.

William Joseph Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital.

That's helpful. And then in the U.S., do you see any opportunity to crack into any of the Tier 1s that you are not currently a meaningful player with?

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Tieton Capital.

We sell to the other, well, let me define Tier 1 for you, if you don't mind. So, we, Tier 1 carrier customers, Telcos customers, we sell to them, but I don't see any real big change in trajectory in the near term there. For MSO customers, I think there's a difference. I think that we have products well positioned and the larger MSOs here, and we could see some movement there. Did that answer your question?

William Joseph Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital.

Yes. But it certainly does lead to another, to expand on that last comment about winning additional, it sounds like large MSO business.

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Tieton Capital.

Right. We're working at it. We have some approvals that we've gotten, and I think we're well positioned. We won't, until I see that big PO coming in, I'm not going to really cut it, but we're approved and ready to go.

William Joseph Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital.

All right. Great. Congratulations on a really nice quarter.

Thomas R. Stanton

Analyst · Tieton Capital.

All right. Thank you very much. I think with that, we are out of questions for today. So, I appreciate everybody joining us on the call today, and we look forward to talking to you next quarter.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now log off.