Mike Geltzeiler
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Thanks, Naren. After a slow start to the year, the Company has now delivered 3 consecutive quarters of above expectation performance. Our financial results and underlying operating metrics progressively improved throughout the year punctuated by a strong fourth quarter providing us favorable momentum as we head into 2015. We accomplished this while continuing to invest in growth, closing the Protectron acquisition and preparing for our launch into the mid-size commercial market. And while we are pleased with the fourth-quarter results, we have larger aspirations in the year ahead. Over the next few slides, I will review our Q4 performance and provide some guidance for 2015. Slide 9 provides an overview of our GAAP and non-GAAP results. Recurring revenue was up 5.4% to $819 million and accounted for nearly 93% of our total revenue. Adjusting for the decline in the Canadian dollar, recurring revenue was up nearly 6%. Total revenue rose 4.4% or 4.7% at constant exchange rates. The gap between recurring revenue growth and total revenue growth reflects lower levels of non-recurring revenue, particularly in our business channel as the unit is shifting away from low margin one-time sales of DVRs towards a more profitable recurring revenue model of selling hosted video services. This trend will continue into 2015. The consolidation of Protectron's results for the first time in the fourth quarter contributed about two-thirds of the revenue growth in the period. However, since Protectron currently operates at a lower margin than our ADT business, the consolidation had a dilutive impact to EBITDA margins in the period and also increased our D&A. EBITDA for the quarter was $458 million, up 6% or $27 million over prior year. This translated to an EBITDA margin of 51.9%, an increase of 100 basis points year-over-year. Good execution of our cost efficiency initiatives drove the increase in our margins as evidenced by only a 1.8% increase in gross SAC P&L expenses and a 3.5% increase in cost to serve despite a higher mix of Pulse subscribers and the addition of Protectron. Excluding Protectron, EBITDA margin for the quarter was 52.6% or a 170 basis point increase over last year. GAAP EPS was $0.47 a share. This included special items and a low tax rate in the quarter of 24.8% versus our non-GAAP rate of 31.7%. Non-GAAP diluted EPS before special items was $0.55, up 20% from prior year. Using our Q4 cash tax rate of 2.8%, our earnings per share before special items was $0.79 for the quarter, up 5% over last year. The chart also details our special items for the quarter. In Q4, we successfully completed our post-separation transition activities from Tyco by splitting several key IT applications and completing our real estate separation plants. We also continued to convert 2G radio customers, upgrading or converting 83,000 customers in the quarter for a total of 221,000 in 2014. We estimate that we are about a quarter of the way through this process, which will continue through 2016. Turning to the operating levers, slide 10 shows gross adds and average revenue per unit for Q4. Total Company gross adds increased 13% sequentially driven by improved performance in both the direct and dealer channels. Protectron contributed 17,000 units to Q4 gross adds. Gross adds in our direct channel were up 8% sequentially, led by stronger lead generation, continued self-generated sales and the addition of Protectron. We grew gross adds despite the impact of our enhanced credit screening process, which has now been fully implemented nationwide. This change is expected to improve future attrition by filtering credit-challenged customers into different payment plans and allowing us to focus on profitable growth. Gross adds in our dealer channel rose 20% sequentially as we continued to strengthen the quality of our dealers and added the production from Protectron. Throughout the year, our team has remained committed to returning this channel to growth and add 111,000 adds for Q4, excluding bulks, we achieved a 13% increase over Q4 2013. Even without Protectron, dealer adds grew about 5% representing the first quarter of year-over-year growth in over 2 years. Pricing remains healthy in our business driven by the continued success of ADT Pulse, incremental service offerings like small business bundles and hosted video and lower credits through higher customer satisfaction. Excluding the impact of Protectron, new and resale ARPU was $47.61, an increase of 7% over the prior year, while ARPU for our overall customer base was $42.32, an increase of 4% year-over-year. Protectron generates lower ARPU than our traditional base in the US. Therefore, including Protectron this quarter, our average ARPU was $41.54. As I indicated, the Company is committed to pursuing profitable growth and has launched a number of initiatives designed to improve the customer experience and increase customer retention. As shown on slide 11, we improved attrition for the second consecutive quarter with Q4 attrition now materially favorable to both our guidance and prior year. 12-month trailing net revenue attrition was 13.5%, an improvement of 40 basis points from last quarter and also versus prior year. Unit attrition, which measures customer attrition for just our residential and business customers, was 13.2% for the quarter, a 30 basis point improvement versus Q3 and 10 basis points lower than last year. Non-pay initiatives, enhanced resale efforts and tighter credit screening, along with more stable existing home sales and our enhanced customer care initiatives all contributed to the lower attrition. Our plans are to drive this number even lower in 2015. Slide 12 details our recurring revenue margins on our existing customer base was 67.5% for the quarter, up 60 basis points versus prior year, but down 80 basis points sequentially. The sequential reduction in margin is due to the dilutive impact from the consolidation of Protectron's results in the quarter, which reduced margins by 70 basis points. The year-over-year increase in margin was driven by operating leverage created from higher recurring revenue, the effects of our cost efficiency programs and a decrease in bad debt expense. On a per-unit basis, cost to serve was flat versus prior year and was up just over 1% sequentially. We continue to make progress in driving down customer acquisition costs and lowering our overall net creation multiple despite higher Pulse take rates, which require a larger upfront investment. Excluding the impact of Pulse upgrades, our combined net creation multiple improved 0.4 times to 30.6 times in Q4 versus Q3 while the net creation multiple in our direct channel before Protectron fell to 29.9 times. The fourth-quarter direct creation multiple was more than 10% below Q1 2014 levels. The momentum is strong entering 2015 to drive creation costs even lower through our cost efficiency programs and a solid pipeline of productivity initiatives such as the launch of electronic contracts, rollout of our new Pulse panel and other planned hardware efficiencies. Turning to slide 13, we detail our free cash flow and steady-state free cash flow for the quarter. Cash flow from operations was $354 million, down 10% from Q4 last year. This is primarily due to a large tax outlay related to a Tyco Sensormatic settlement, interest paid on incremental debt and the cost of 2G conversions in the quarter. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $362 million, of which 92% of that investment was for new subscriber adds. This compares to $316 million of total CapEx in the fourth quarter of last year. Direct channel subscriber CapEx increased by 3% reflecting higher Pulse penetration and greater volume of Pulse upgrades. Our dealer channel, which experienced strong growth this quarter, saw CapEx increase by 29% attributed to a strong increase in gross adds, the inclusion of Protectron and increased Pulse take rates. Factoring all of this, free cash flow before special items for the quarter was $54 million. Our steady-state free cash flow for the quarter was a fiscal 2014 high of $966 million. This compares to $939 million in last year's fourth quarter and $934 million last year. This metric is heavily skewed by current quarter EBITDA, creation multiple and last 12-month attrition, all of which improved in Q4 versus Q3. Slide 14 highlights our capital allocation and debt levels for the quarter. On a pro forma basis, reflecting a full year for Protectron, leverage was 2.8 times at quarter-end. For the year, we added $1.7 billion of debt enabling us to finance the acquisition of Protectron and reduce diluted ending shares outstanding by 17%. In Q4, we paid a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share, a 60% increase over last year. We ended the quarter with 175 million shares outstanding after dilution, which is a reduction of 26% in the share count over the past 2 years. In fiscal 2014, we repurchased $1.4 billion in shares at an average price of $38.49. We have $381 million remaining on the share buyback authorization and we remain opportunistic when evaluating additional buybacks. When we reflect back to the Investor Day we held last December, we guided investors towards a second-half turnaround in our financials and key operating metrics and this is what we delivered. Slide 15 details the quarterly trends for key financial and operating metrics since ADT became public in 2012. As we look over the 8 quarters, it is clear that our hard work is starting to pay off and the improved second half of 2014 has generated favorable momentum leading into 2015. EBITDA and EBITDA margins before special items have risen steadily throughout the year. This, coupled with lower SAC and customer attrition, helped drive higher steady-state cash flows. Gross adds were off our plan for the year, but have grown sequentially throughout the year in both channels ending 2014 with our highest level of gross adds in the last 2 years when excluding bulk purchases. Our attrition initiatives are taking hold after peaking at 14.2% in Q1. We ended the year at 13.5% in revenue attrition, only 10 basis points from our lowest level since we went public and surpassing our goal for the year. We expect to continue this trend. We are also adding customers more efficiently with our creation multiple improving each quarter this year despite increases in automation take rates and again, we feel confident we can make further improvements in 2015 given our pipeline of initiatives. So let's move to slide 16 and address our 2015 full-year guidance. Given our strong finish, we have a positive outlook for the upcoming year and believe 2015 will be a year of financial growth and improved operating metrics while we increase investments to position the Company for success in the dynamic environments where we operate. In 2015, we expect subscriber growth and increased Pulse traction to drive recurring revenue growth between 5% and 6% over last year on a constant currency basis. We are planning to invest in this growth, as well as in other initiatives, including building our capabilities to expand into the mid-size commercial business and accelerating growth in our health business. Both these growth areas require investments creating minor headwinds on 2015 EBITDA. All-in, we expect 2015 EBITDA to increase between $70 million and $100 million. Customer satisfaction and retention remain a priority and we expect to drive unit attrition below 13% as a result of improving the customer experience and continuing to deliver upon our attrition initiatives. As we've stated previously, steady-state free cash flow is a better long-term than short-term metric given its volatility to certain metrics. For the year, we expect steady-state free cash flow to exceed $1 billion in 2015. The EBITDA and steady-state free cash flow guidance excludes special items. These include one-time costs related to the integration associated with acquisitions, the cost to realize efficiencies and costs associated with upgrading some of our existing customers' communication radios. Underlying this outlook, we expect continued improvement in the 5 value drivers that impact the business, including growing gross adds in all channels or both channels, direct and dealer, driving increases in ARPU, lowering churn and driving cost efficiencies. Now I would like to turn the call back over to Naren.