Tom Hall
Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead
Yes, the majority of new JVs that we'll be signing will not have a new hospital attached to them, it will not be in hub [ph]. We're working on the new model, we'll be announcing it later this fall when we announce our first joint venture under that model on how we work with partners. And we think it will increase speed the market, it will also help us get into markets where they have for example, allow to build new hospitals so their ceilings [ph] -- and I guess hospitals and stuff like that. And what it really is and it just really simplifies it. I think it makes it even more obvious for all the constituents that what we're really doing is partnering with these big health systems to improve access to quality care reduced costs. And so -- because they are going to the drivers, they are the majority shareholders, the economics should look very, very similar; not exactly the way they look today from how the economics are shared but we think it will improve speed to market. If I think three to five-years, it's an evolution a lot of conversation is going on. What we tend to find is as we announced new deals with prominent partners it helps the momentum. And so when we announced the THR deal there were people we were talking to and they were taken back by -- they were very impressed, let me put it that way. Everyone knows it's a wonderful brand, everyone knows it's an extremely high integrity brand, and with wonderful management leadership, a conservative group of folks. And so the fact that they partner with us was just a big endorsement that who we are and how we operate our business, and how we take care of our patients and all that. So as we continue to grow, we think that will continue to help the momentum. What does it mean in size and all that? I don't know that -- anyone knows exactly, I would tell you this; there is -- depending on the markets there are speculation that the facilities may see more patients. There is just a lot of speculation in some of our partners because some of these markets are so underserved that they think that the average patient counts -- I've mentioned many times that, for example in Arizona, we're well over 20 patients a day, in that's Phoenix market I can tell you that we have partners that are adamant today as the numbers are going to be those numbers, only time will tell. So we have to see how they perform but I would say in general, we anticipate the thing and where the partner is, and where the market is. We just think of our average unit economics going up, I guess I will put it to you in this way, if you could wave a magic wand today and say all the facilities are HOPD, they are all part of somebody, the direct contracts and all that, and let's just jump five years out just because it's -- it's not tomorrow. I think we fully expect our facilities will average 20 plus patients a day across the portfolio. And so how long it takes us to get there? Everybody can model it and figure it out and it can be more but we think that's a baseline. And so you can imagine what that does, you can run the numbers when it does for the average profitability per unit, what it does for profitability across the portfolio. And then however that is when you get there, you truly partner with the big brands. We've all seen this moving before you saw it in the 30% of space. And so just delever -- de-risk the model and improves access to reduce costs, I mean it's a win-win-win for everybody, and so that's kind of how I see it.