Craig Bram
Analyst · SGF Capital
Thanks, Dennis. The company is off to a great start in 2019 as each of our business units performed in line with or exceeded the first quarter forecast for both revenue and earnings. As noted in the earnings release, we are reaffirming our guidance for 2019 and expect revenue totaling $340 million and adjusted EBITDA of $30 million. The adjusted EBITDA forecast assumes cumulative inventory price change losses for the year of $3.4 million and negative manufacturing variances of $0.7 million. Increasing surcharges in April and May will generate inventory price change gains to help offset the Q1 losses, assuming the surcharges continue to hold up. In the Metals segment, we continue to make significant progress on multiple fronts. First, the ASTI acquisition was completed on January 1, and the integration of that unit has gone very well. They'll be converted to our company-wide ERP system on June 1, providing the management team with the same timely information that's available in each of our business units. Combining the raw material purchases of ASTI with Bristol Metals has generated savings in line with expectations, and we are proceeding with sharing best practice production methods across these units as well. Turning to our storage business in West Texas. Throughput at that unit has increased in a rate of over 30% from the prior two quarters. Bottlenecks have been reduced and employee turnover has much improved. Some of the largest E&P companies, including Exxon and Chevron, are committing greater resources to the Permian, with both Chevron and Occidental pursuing an acquisition of Anadarko, a large holder of acreage in this part of Texas. We expect higher oil prices, both WTI and Brent, to jump-start drilling activity in the Gulf of Mexico, which will directly benefit the sales of heavy wall, seamless carbon tube at our Houston operation. Recently, Specialty Pipe & Tube landed the largest order in the history of that company. We will be manufacturing mechanical tubes that will be used in a parabolic solar field in the Middle East. The order will be filled over the next 18 months or so, and while the size of the order is not on the scale of some of our project work in the Stainless Steel Pipe segment, it carries very attractive margins nonetheless. The welded stainless steel pipe market is off to an interesting start to the year. You will recall, this time last year, the President was implementing tariffs across the steel industry. Considerable buying was taking place in advance of those tariffs, helping to increase volume for both domestic and certain foreign manufacturers in the first quarter of last year. For example, South Korea is on a quota program, and they concentrated their shipments into the US early in 2018 and again in January of this year. For the first quarter of this year, volume in the North American welded stainless steel pipe market was down about 13% over the first quarter of last year. Bristol Metals volume was down only 7%, resulting in an increase in market share of approximately 370 basis points. While volume was down from last year, we do not believe it is an indication of lower end market demand but simply timing related to the tariffs last year. We have secured several distributor inventory stock buys in April, totaling upwards of $9 million and are quoting on several more. Product mix was very positive in the first quarter, with special alloy sales at a higher percentage of total sales than they've been for some time. All in all, except for the inventory price change losses, there was much to like in the Metals segment in Q1. The Chemicals segment continued to post organic growth in revenue and earnings in Q1, and we expect more of the same for the remainder of 2019. The capital projects to expand our biocide capacity at CRI is underway, and we've had success in adding new business to our blending operation in MC. Before opening the call to questions, I want to comment on Privet's interest in acquiring the company. As outlined in our response letter last Friday, the Board believes that Privet's valuation is inadequate. Simply put, if we are to sell the company, our shareholders deserve a higher price. I've spoken with several of our largest shareholders, and they agree with the Board's position. We will certainly keep you updated should anything new develop. We'll now open the call to questions.