Heather Dixon
Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead
Thanks, Chris, and good morning, everyone. Our first quarter financial performance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA fell within our guidance ranges, with adjusted EBITDA performing at the high end of the range. We reported $770.5 million in revenue for the quarter, representing a slight increase over the first quarter of last year. Recall, we had expected Medicaid supplemental payments to be down $10 million to $15 million year over year in Q1, and these came in near the midpoint of that range. Same facility revenue grew 2.1% compared with the first quarter of 2024, driven by patient day growth of 2.2%. As Chris mentioned, both same facility revenue and patient day growth included an unfavorable impact of approximately 110 basis points from the late year. Q1 same facility revenue per patient day growth was roughly flat on a year-on-year basis, primarily due to the timing of supplemental payments. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of 2025 was $134.2 million, reflecting an adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.4%. As reflected in our prior guidance, these quarterly results included an approximate $5 million year-over-year EBITDA impact due to the decision to close the facility in the first quarter as a part of our ongoing portfolio management efforts. Also included in our results were startup losses related to new facilities, which were higher on both a year-over-year basis and a sequential basis, reflecting a step-up in the number of newly constructed facilities. On a same facility basis, adjusted EBITDA was $191.6 million and adjusted EBITDA margin was 25.2% in the first quarter of this year. Our same facility results continued to be affected by a small group of underperforming facilities that you will recall started to have a material impact on our results near the end of the third quarter of 2024. To date, these facilities have performed in line with our expectations. While we continue to work diligently to improve performance at these facilities, we acknowledge that it will take time, and our 2025 guidance continues to reflect no material improvement at these underperforming facilities as we move throughout the year. We continue to maintain a strong financial position, providing us the ability to make the right strategic investments to enhance our operations and support our growth strategy. As of March 31, 2025, we had $91.2 million in cash and cash equivalents and approximately $900 million under our $1 billion revolving credit facility with a net leverage ratio of approximately 3.2 times. The company repurchased approximately 1.6 million shares during the first quarter for a total of $47.3 million Moving on to our outlook for 2025. As noted in our press release, we are reaffirming our full year guidance ranges for revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share. As a reminder, our 2025 guidance includes the following considerations. For 2025, we expect to add between 801,000 total beds. As I just mentioned, we expected that a small subset of underperforming facilities would result in an approximate $20 million year-over-year headwind to our 2025 adjusted EBITDA. As I mentioned, to date, these facilities have performed in line with our expectations and negatively impacted our same facility patient day growth by approximately 90 basis points in the first quarter. We expect to begin to comp over this headwind to volumes in the fourth quarter of 2025. We continue to expect Medicaid supplemental payments to be flat to up $15 million in 2025 on a net basis, inclusive of the new Tennessee program once approved. We continue to expect $50 million to $55 million in start-up losses for full year 2025, of which we anticipate approximately $15 million in the second quarter. Before we move to Q&A, I would like to offer some additional color on our bed additions and growth plan. Since last quarter, some of you have asked us questions about our long-term EBITDA growth guidance. So, we want to take a moment to clarify some of the assumptions that are contemplated in that guidance range. The previously announced expected revenue growth of 7% to 9% and EBITDA growth of 8% to 10% over 2026 to 2028 is underpinned by annual bed additions of 600 beds to 800 beds beginning in 2026, as well as the roughly 1,600 to 1,800 beds being added over 2024 and 2025. First, we want to highlight that most of these bed additions come in the form of brand-new facilities, which on average typically ramp to run rate occupancy and EBITDA margin within a five-year period. As a result, we expect to recognize incremental EBITDA for majority of this cohort beyond 2028 as these beds continue to ramp to mature occupancy and margin levels. Keep in mind, our three-year outlook also contemplates the inherent uncertainty that always exists with regards to construction timing, licensing timing and time to ramp. And we will remain cognizant of this uncertainty as we continue to execute on the largest expansion of bed capacity in our company's history over the next several years. Accordingly, our three-year outlook assumes that the occupancy and EBITDA ramp for new hospitals will trend towards a five-year ramp period, which is at the upper end of our historical ramp model and leads a significant amount of inherent earnings power beyond 2028. Second, with regards to payer rates, we included an element of conservatism in our assumptions as it relates to revenue per patient day and rate growth, given some of the uncertainties surrounding the policy and macro environment. We see embedded upside in these projections if the next few years' updates from government and commercial payers more closely resembles that of the last few years versus what is currently contemplated in our three-year outlook. This base of new behavioral health hospitals we are currently building will provide a multi-year runway for growth, not only as occupancy ramps over the next few years, but also as we're able to add expansion beds to these facilities over time. As we decrease the accelerated pace of bed additions in 2026 to a rate of 600 to 800 per year, we expect startup losses to ease in the back half of 2026, helping to fuel strong and self-sustaining free cash flow generation as we exit 2026. Note this debt growth is still well above the historical pace prior to 2024, which will contribute meaningfully to our performance in the outer years, including in 2028 and beyond. With that, we're ready to open the call for questions.