Neal Fenwick
Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Your line is open
Thank you, Boris, and good morning everyone. I'm going to discuss the impacts of COVID-19 throughout my comments. Those impacts include the operational, financial and other effects on ACCO Brands, its customers, end users of its products, school and business closures, work from home, remote and hybrid learning, government orders, manufacturing distribution, supply chain disruption, resulting from COVID-19. And the actions of ACCO Brands, its customers and end users have taken in response to the pandemic, including actions we have taken to manage our inventory and credit risk under the circumstances. Our third quarter reported net sales decreased 12%, due to lower demand from the impact of COVID-19. As Boris noted, we saw strong sales growth in product lines that focus on work and school from home such as our Kensington computer accessories and TruSens air purifiers, but North America back-to-school sales were sluggish and its commercial sales remain weak. Third quarter net income was $19 million or $0.20 per share. Adjusted net income was $18 million and adjusted EPS was $0.19. Adjusted EPS was at the high end of our outlook based on better relative sales and our cost reduction efforts. Our gross margin was almost 29% compared with 31% in 2019. And the decrease was largely the result of declines in North America and international from unfavorable product mix and lower fixed cost absorption, primarily because of lower demand. SG&A expenses were $84 million compared with $96 million last year. SG&A as a percent of sales was 19% flat with last year, primarily because of cost reduction efforts, offset by sales deleveraging. As we indicated in our first and second quarter earnings releases, we have taken many cost reduction actions in response to COVID-19 and participated in government assistance programs when we qualified so as to keep employees rather than implementing layoffs or furloughs. In February and March, we took early temporary actions to protect the health and safety of our employees and to aggressively reduce cost to protect our business in the near-term. In the second quarter, we announced a restructuring charge to take more permanent and structural changes to our business including headcount reductions which we initiated in North America and Mexico in the third quarter. The $7 million restructuring charge that we took in the second quarter is expected to produce an annualized run rate savings of $11 million. In the third quarter, we achieved $20 million in total for both normal productivity and additional cost reductions including one quarter of benefits from the second quarter restructuring actions. Moving on, adjusted operating income was $35 million compared to $52 million last year due to lower sales, lower fixed cost absorption, and additional provisions for bad debt expenses. Adjusted operating margin was 8% versus 10%. Our adjusted tax rate was 30%. The higher adjusted tax rate this quarter versus last year's third quarter reflects differences in the level and geographic location of the earnings. Now, let's turn to some details of our segment results. Net sales in North America decreased 12%. Sell-out of back-to-school products was hurt by learning in a fully remote or hybrid status. As noted earlier, the timing of purchases shifted to later in the third quarter and we expect back-to-school sales to continue throughout the fourth quarter as e-tailers and some retailers have retained their back-to-school in anticipation of student purchases continuing. Sales of Kensington computer accessories in North America were more than double the prior year third quarter because of the shipment of a large contract order. The strong sales of computer accessories helped to offset the weaker back-to-school sales. As expected, commercial sales remained weak as many offices in North America were closed or had limited opening. North America adjusted operating income was $23 million versus $36 million last year and adjusted operating margin was 10% compared with 13%. The decline was a result of lower sales, unfavorable mix, and unfavorable cost absorption. These factors were partially offset by cost reductions. Now, let's turn to EMEA, which had a strong quarter. Net sales increased 3% to $136 million as a result of favorable foreign exchange. Comparable sales were down approximately 2% due to the impacts of COVID-19. These reduced impacts were largely offset by growth in light personal shredders; TruSens air purifiers, DIY tools, and Kensington computer accessories. EMEA experienced a much stronger level of demand in the third quarter compared with the second quarter as commercial businesses and consumers were under significantly fewer COVID-19 restrictions and many offices and schools reopened throughout Europe. We have now seen several months of improvement with good recovery in our sales of commercial products. EMEA posted an adjusted operating profit of $17 million versus $14 million last year as a result of cost savings. Adjusted operating margin was 12% versus 10% last year. Moving to the International segment. Net sales declined significantly similar to the second quarter because of lower demand from the impact of COVID-19. And Mexico and Brazil continue to be significantly impacted by COVID-19 as many schools and offices in both countries remain closed. The current expectation is that this will continue throughout the rest of 2020 and into the first half of 2021. Australia sales decreased due to the lockdown of the state of Victoria due to COVID 19. The lockdown has now been rescinded and we expect to see improved demand in the fourth quarter. Leisure sales were down to a lesser extent than in the second quarter. International adjusted operating income was $4 million compared with $11 million last year as a result of the lower sales. Profits were also hurt by adverse customer and product mix, higher bad debt reserves and lower fixed cost absorption, partially offset by cost reductions and price increases. Let's move now to our balance sheet and cash flow. In the third quarter, we generated approximately $89 million in net cash from operating activities and had $86 million of free cash flow. We paid dividends of $6 million and CapEx was $3 million. As we noted in our first quarter release, we do not plan to repurchase shares for the remainder of the year. Longer term, we plan to use our free cash flow to fund our dividend, reduce debt, repurchase shares and make acquisitions. Our CapEx outlook for 2020 is less than $20 million and we have spent $12 million year-to-date. During the quarter, we repaid $124 million in debt. At quarter end, we had used $134 million of our $600 million revolving credit facility, primarily to seasonal borrowings and had $86 million in cash-on-hand. Our net leverage ratio was 3.45 times, which is well under our debt covenant. Now let's turn to our outlook. It continues to be difficult to forecast in this environment because there is much uncertainty related to the economy as well as the implications of new COVID-19 flare-ups. Our fourth quarter demand is expected to continue to be down compared to last year, especially in the commercial office products area in North America. Latin America continues to struggle and we expect Brazil's back-to-school season to be smaller and to ship later with normal December sales slipping into January. Australia is likely to improve now that the Victoria lockdown has been lifted, but we still anticipate international to be our most challenged segment. The recent increases in COVID-19 cases in Europe is making it the hardest segment to forecast. Nevertheless, we currently anticipate that year-over-year it will still be the least adversely impacted segment. We don't see a catalyst for additional economic improvement in the fourth quarter. Likewise, fourth quarter seasonality in our North American business is skewed toward commercial products, which remain weak. EMEA typically has seasonally strong fourth quarter commercial sales, which we anticipate will help offset some of the softness in North America and Latin America. We are cognizant of the rapidly developing situation of COVID-19 in EMEA and cannot guarantee that it could not also negatively impact our results. Our fourth quarter outlook is a sales decline in the range of 15% to 20%. Fourth quarter adjusted EPS are expected to be in the range of $0.26 to $0.32. The outlook includes an adverse foreign exchange impact of 2% on sales and $0.02 on adjusted EPS. We expect our cost reduction actions combined with our normal productivity programs will deliver approximately $15 million in additional fourth quarter expense savings compared with last year. With respect to achieving our cash flow outlook, we feel confident that we can generate at least $120 million of operating cash flow for the full year. And with CapEx expected to be below $20 million, we expect to generate above $100 million in free cash flow. We continue to experience an increased level of late payments from customers in certain international and export markets and have increased our bad debt reserves almost $3 million in the third quarter and $6 million year-to-date. Our South American and Mexican customers along with the wholesaler insolvency in EMEA are the main concerns. We are actively managing our receivables and we'll continue to restrict our own sales to mitigate our risk as necessary. In the third quarter, we took a $6 million provision for slow moving inventory, which is similar to last year's third quarter. On a year-to-date basis, it is almost $5 million higher than 2019 levels. Now let's move on to Q&A, where Boris and I will be happy to take your questions. Operator?