Miles White
Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus, your line is open
Well, I may have to phone a friend for that last part. But let me address the first part. You’ll recall, well, first of all, we set our targets for the year that healthy double digits. Now, we’ve got St. Jude in the mix there, so there’s extra healthy double digits. But even on top of just last year on a comparable basis, there’s a double-digit earnings growth target here, which again, I would point out is not typical across our peer group, or competitors, et cetera, or even the companies that our investors compare us to many of which are not healthcare. And so we start the year with healthy double-digit target and guidance. And then the gating of that guidance over the quarters, as you may recall in the first quarter, that the issue was jeez, it looks back-end loaded. And our fourth quarter is always strong and our first quarter is always the low quarter of the year. And so you look at that and you say, okay, the investor tends to think that last quarter, gosh, it looks like such a big hill. So, we have a strong first quarter that tends to be the case. We tend to have lower guidance then and we tend to beat it each year, tend to be – tends to be a pattern. And then there’s, I look at each year a little superstitiously. I guess, if you’ve been around long enough, you get to see this. But every year exchange or something happens later in the year, where there’s a change. There’s a political change, there’s an exchange, just a matter of some kind or whatever. So I’m reluctant to adjust guidance in the first quarter for almost anything, and because I’d like to see the year play out a little more first, because I don’t like the whip around shareholders, particularly when we’re all already, looking at a double-digit growth target, which is annual for us. And so I look at it and say, okay, we’re off to a nice strong start. We have had a bit of favorable exchange. We do know there’s some timing in there, and there’s also some strength in there. And I’d like to see that strength sustained and I’d like to see the exchange sustain. I’d like to see more than three months play out here. So in the meantime, my view would be, let’s take some of the gaining off the back part of the year, or let’s regain this a little bit more gently, call it, a little smoother, and let’s wait to see another card played in the second quarter. I just don’t think it’s prudent at this early point in the year to make adjustments to earnings that are already double-digit targets until we see more cards played. I mean, that’s that’s basically my thought process right now.