Carl Hansen
Analyst · Stifel. Your lines open
Thanks Tryn and thank you, everyone for joining us today. It's my pleasure to provide an update on our business and a recap of 2021. Abcellera had a banner first year as a publicly-listed company, executing on our long-term strategy by growing our portfolio, deepening our platform to unlock new modalities, and expanding our deal structures to add new ways to capture value. We ended 2021 with over $720 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, and approximately $70 million in receivables net of payables. We added 53 new programs under contract with nine new partners, bringing our cumulative total of programs under contract to 156 with a total of 36 partners. We ramped up our discovery capacity and started working on 26 new drug discovery programs, bringing our total number of programs starts to 78. Finally, we saw four molecules we discovered into the clinic, bringing our total number to five new molecules in the clinic for indications in oncology, infectious disease, animal health, and immunology, dermatology, and gastrointestinal disease. Building on our momentum from 2021, we are now well-positioned to continue executing on our growth strategy. Abcellera is building a technology company that drives innovation in antibody therapeutics, which currently represents an estimated $170 billion market opportunity. Based on historical content compounded annual growth of over 10% for the last three decades, this market is expected to reach over $350 billion by 2030. Our strategy for growth in this market is to become the de facto technology leader in the early part of drug development, ultimately covering all the activities that lie between target discovery and clinical testing. Our work begins once the fundamental science has been done and a drug target has been identified. Starting from the indication and requirements of a drug target and therapeutic candidate, we use our technology stack to deliver antibodies with optimal drug-like properties. We deliver lead drug candidates and data packages to our partners and they then been bringing these antibodies forward through late-stage preclinical and clinical development. Our technology gives our partners a competitive advantage in advancing their programs. In exchange, we take a stake in these programs, allowing us to build a large and diversified portfolio in the next generation of antibody therapies. Over the long run, we believe this strategy will provide superior returns and value to our shareholders, while avoiding the large capital outlays for clinical development and the extreme binary risk that is normally associated with biotech. In 2021, we had a record year in business development, adding another 53 programs as a contract with nine new partners. This underscores a strong market fit for our business model. Our partners span the full range of drug developers from early-stage biotech to midcap publicly-traded biotechs, to large vertically integrated biopharmaceutical companies. Enable partners come to us to find antibodies with superior drug properties or to advanced programs that have proven refractory to traditional workflows. For smaller biotech companies, our technology does more than just level the playing field, it allows them to advance the programs with a technology advantage, while saving time and capital that would otherwise be needed to assemble or build internal capabilities. Collaborating with diverse partners allows us to open up new modalities and targets. For example, our deal with Moderna opens up a new modality of RNA-based antibody therapies. Another strong area of growth is in bispecific antibodies, which has enabled using our OrthoMab platform. In total, we now have 156 programs under contract of which 131 have downstream participation. Approximately half of our programs under contract have yet to begin to the discovery phase. As a result, we entered 2022 with a full book of work. Specifically, we now have over 70 programs that are contracts that are yet to be started. We are therefore in a position to be increasingly selective in our deal making and expect to be shifting our business development focus towards strategic partnerships, where we have the potential for even deeper participation in the molecules that we discover. To maintain future flexibility in our business and deal terms, we also intend to limit the number of programs under contract that are associated with new multi-year agreements. As indicated during our last business update, we will now be focusing on program starts rather than programs under contract as a key metric for the growth of our portfolio. In 2021, we started 26 programs, bringing the keynote number of programs starts to 78. Today, we are excited to share additional details about our portfolio. We think of our portfolio as a financial asset, where diversification can be effectively used to achieve strong growth, but at the same time, mitigating risk. The wide applicability of antibodies and the breadth of our platform allow us to diversify our portfolio across antibody modalities, partnerships and therapeutic areas. As illustrated, our programs are diversified in indications that now include oncology, immunology, neurology, infectious disease, ophthalmology, and beyond. For the 65 human health programs, where we already know that therapeutic application, oncology represents just over half of our portfolio and it's been a growth area over the past year. We expect this trend to continue in 2022, broadly reflecting the activity in the sector. In all of our partnerships, the large majority of the deal value is tied to the success of the molecules that we discover. We achieve this through a variety of deal structures, the most frequent of which includes upfront and research payments, followed by clinical and commercial milestones, and royalties on net sale. The timing and the relative value of these payments is illustrated on this slide, which presents an example of one of our programs in the case that it is successful in bringing a new therapy to the market. This example hypothetically assumes a typical timeline of 10 years from program start to market approval, modest total upfront fees, aggregate milestones of over $90 million, peak sales of $1.7 billion per year, and a 5% royalty on net sales. What's important to note is that for a successful program, by far the largest fraction of the value for a seller is associated with the royalties. These typically occur 10 years after the program is started. For molecules that reach the clinic, royalties represent approximately 90% of the total value. Milestones are the second most valuable portion of the deal and represent approximately 7% of the total value. milestone payments begin when a molecule reaches the clinic approximately three to four years after a program starts. Milestones then continued to progress at higher payments until a drug candidate reaches market approval and achieve certain sales levels. Finally, upfront and research payments are the smallest portion of a deal and are recognized as a seller complete this works. Commonly, these payments are between $1 million and $3 million and represent approximately 1% or less the total value of the successful drug development program. Our COVID-19 program with Eli Lilly is a real-world and time-compressed example of the value associated with our business model. Over the period between March 2020 and December 31, 2021, we received $526 million in royalties, representing over 90% of the program value to-date. Structuring deals that emphasize value in royalties, also aligns our success with the delivery of therapies that make a difference for patients. In this particular case, family bamlanivimab used either alone or together with other antibodies has been used to help more than 1 million patients. We estimate that this has saved more than 1,000 -- 100,000 hospitalizations and more than 40,000 lives. This is one example of what can happen when a program is successful. However, this example is atypical due both to the timelines associated with pandemic response and our larger royalty position, which reflects both the high value placed on speed and the fact that we initiated our COVID-19 response independently as part of our internal technology development efforts. Moreover, it is also important to realize that any particular drug development program is a high-risk high-reward endeavor, and that the large majority of programs are expected to fail to result in approved therapies. This is why it is so important to build a large diversified portfolio as we have been doing. In addition to the number of program starts in our portfolio, main drivers of value are the probability of success, the speed of a program advancing, and our economic participation in each program. Because of this, we make platform investments and business development decisions that seek to optimize these combined factors. We carefully evaluate each program to identify the highest value opportunities, considering the scientific hypothesis, the commercial potential, and the capabilities of our partners. To build capacity, we continue to invest in the expansion of our facilities and our workforce. Importantly, we are leveraging modern automation, data science software solutions, and computation that we believe will yield continuous improvements in speed, efficiency, and success rates across our programs. As already mentioned, this includes investments in a multi-year project of forward integration, which includes translational science, CMC, and GMP manufacturing. We believe that seamless integration of these capabilities with our upstream technologies will allow us to greatly accelerate the path from program start to the start of clinical development. As we build our business, expand our technology, and increase the value we bring to our partners, we expect that our economic participation in each program will increase. These next few slides confirm that this has been the case over the past few years. This graph shows the progression of our royalty rates from early in our business between 2015 and 2019, to more recently, between 2020 and 2021. The box and whisker plot indicate the inner two quartiles and the fifth and 95th percentiles for deals done within each period. As shown, the mean royalty value from our earlier deals was 2.5% and is now increased to 4.3% with a quarter of deals having royalty rates above 5%. At the top end, royalty rates reach over 8%, while very few programs now have raised below 2.5%. We know that the distribution of royalties shown here are firm numbers that are not subject to buyout clauses. In addition to strong growth in the number and size of a royalty positions as shown on this slide, we have also accumulated a large value of potential milestone payments. The aggregate value of potential milestone payments for a portfolio of programs currently under contract is $4.6 billion, of which more than half of this is associated with commercial success. I would like to emphasize that this is the maximum potential value and is not been adjusted for the probability of success. As I said previously, the large majority of programs do not succeed in becoming approved products and therefore, we would expect to recognize only a fraction of this total value. In addition to milestones and royalties, which have been -- which has been typical of how we achieve downstream participation in our early years. As we provide more value to partners, we are now adding deal structures to capture that value. This is particularly true when engaging with early-stage firms. These deals include equity or equity-like stakes and new companies, as well as options to co-invest in program development to obtain a progressively larger effective ownership position. These should be viewed as a subset of potentially higher value programs and are part of balancing our portfolio in terms of indication risk, partner type, and deal structure. At this point, the large majority of our programs are preclinical, reflecting the stage of our business and a higher concentration of new programs in the past few years. As our portfolio matures, we expect to see an increasing pace of molecules entering the clinic and an increasing average stake in these clinical assets. As mentioned, in 2021, we saw four new molecules enter the clinic, recently, one of these molecules bebtelovimab, received emergency use authorization from the U.S. FDA. bebtelovimab is our second COVID-19 antibody to receive emergency use authorization and is the combination of a two-pronged strategy that we executed in response to the pandemic. In March of 2020, at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, we made a conscious decision to first prioritize speed and getting therapies out to patients. This resulted in the discovery of bamlanivimab, the first COVID-19 antibody to reach the clinic, and the first receive emergency use authorization by the FDA. Because we anticipated that resistant strains would emerge, we didn't stop. We continued our screening efforts and built up a collection of several thousand diverse candidate antibodies. In early 2021, responding to the emergence of new variants, we began to search this library to find a next-generation solution, this time, prioritizing maximum possible potency and breath of neutralization. This effort resulted in the discovery and now the emergency use authorization of bebtelovimab. bebtelovimab neutralizes every known variants of concern and to our knowledge, it is by far the most potent antibody in development against the Omicron variant and the BA.2 sub-variant. This graph shows our laboratory measurements of the potency of various antibodies that are in development, either as monotherapy, or as part of a cocktail of two antibodies. For each antibody, the potency against Omicron is quantified by the IC-50 value, which refers to the concentration of antibody that is needed to achieve a 50% neutralization of a fixed amount of pseudo-type virus. Lower numbers are good and indicate a more potent antibody. This data shows that bebtelovimab is at least 50 times more potent against Omicron than other antibodies we tested and has either been authorized or are in late-stage development. Moreover, the three most potent antibodies against Omicron -- moreover, four the most part-- excuse me, moreover, four the three most potent antibodies against Omicron, we believe that only bebtelovimab maintains full effectiveness against the BA.2 sub-variant, which is thought to be more effective and is rapidly growing in prevalence. The high potency of bebtelovimab allows for full effectiveness at a dose of only 175 milligrams, which can be delivered by IV push in less than a minute as compared to a 30-minute infusion with some other antibody therapies. Furthermore, we believe that bebtelovimab's potency and breath, give us the potential for development as a prophylactic to protect against COVID-19 infection in high risk populations. The discovery of two authorized therapeutic antibodies within a year of each other demonstrates the power of our platform and its potential to quickly generate best-in-class therapeutics for our partners across other indications. I would like to emphasize that we are not a COVID-19 company. In fact, infectious disease represents a small fraction, approximately 5% of Abcellera's portfolio. In 2022, we will continue to drive innovative science that we believe will enhance the power of our platform to open up new target spaces and enable next-generation antibody therapies. We anticipate a number of exciting updates this year, that are in part the result of successful integration of the acquisitions that we've made over the past couple years. For instance, we have made substantial progress enhancing technologies for the discovery of antibodies against GPCRs and ion channels, including integration of the TetraGenetics platform, which we acquired in 2021. We look forward to updating you on those advancements in future business updates. In our last update, you will recall that we discussed how the combination of our discovery bispecific and computational platforms can be used to create next generation T-cell engagers based on CD-3. Here, we are leveraging our training platform to generate fully human antibodies for T-cells and tumor targets and combining them to create bispecifics using our OrthoMab protein engineering platform. That's an effort that is just underway and we are pleased to be sharing data about that program at the upcoming American Association for Cancer Research or AACR Meeting in April. Summing up, we've made tremendous progress in 2021. We are now moving into 2022 with a full head of steam. Despite the challenges of operating the pandemic, we posted a record year in growing our business and have expanded our operations now to include over 400 people working in locations across the globe. Since our last earnings call, we've also strengthened our leadership team with the appointment of Neil Aubuchon as Chief Commercial Officer and Dr. Andrew Lo as Independent Director. And with that, I'll hand over to Andrew Booth, our CFO to provide an overview of our 2021 financials. Andrew?