Bob Barton
Analyst · Bank of America. Please proceed
Good morning and thank you Ernest. Overall conditions in our core markets Seattle, Portland, San Francisco, San Diego and Oahu continue to show significant signs of strength in all three of our asset classes. We expect this to continue into the foreseeable future. Rental income growth in the second quarter was strong at 8% as was the same-store growth at 9.3%. In terms of leasing, it was also a good quarter. We completed 19 retail transactions, 17 of which were with comparable leases at average rents of $33.59, 19% more than the $28.23 per foot leases representing the last year in the former lease. We also completed 22 office leases, 16 of which were with comparable leases at average rents of $60.13 which was 40.1% more than the $42.93 per-foot representing the last year in the former lease. In our multifamily portfolio, the average monthly base rent per leased unit was $1,597 compared to an average monthly base rent per leased unit of $1,438 at June 30, 2014, an increase of 11% and a 5.4% increase over Q1 2015. Let’s talk about our developments for a moment. In San Diego, construction commenced on Sorrento Point now officially renamed Torrey Point on July 15. This two-building approximately 90,000 square-foot project is expected to be completed in the first quarter of 2017. We expect this to be the crown jewel of office space in San Diego County combined with a strong development yield ranging from 8.25% to 9.25%. In Portland, Oregon, our Hassalo on Eight Project welcomed its first residence to the Velomor building on July 2, after nearly 24 months of construction, four days ahead of schedule. We expect to be finished on time and on budget at the end of September with the remaining punch-list items during October. Approximately 60 days to go until completion. The Velomor which is the first building to open has 177 multifamily units and as of yesterday had 118 lease assigned which is approximately 67% leased. Occupancy is approximately 32% leased or - is approximately 32% and increasingly daily as move-ins are being scheduled. The Astor, 337 units and Elwood 143 units are expected to be delivered in October and pre-leasing is already commenced with a limited ability to show actual rooms until the actual construction site is completed. We have great admiration for our team in Portland that is focused on making this project, a success. We remain on track and on budget. The apartment vacancy for the Lloyd District is holding steady hovering about 3%, the best in Portland metropolitan statistical area and one of the best in the nation. We hope to see many of you at our Investor Day in Portland on September 24. We will provide an in-depth tour of both Hassalo on Eight and our First & Main property during that investor tour. Please contact us if you have not received an invitation. In Hawaii, our Beach Walk project continues to post impressive results. As of June 30 the property was 100% leased with sales per square-foot of approximately $1,080. Thank you. In June, our Embassy Suites, the number one ranked Embassy Suites in North America as reported by Hilton Hotels once again exceeded its competition in occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR for the month. According to Smith Travel Research report for the month of June in comparison to the competitive set, the property achieved an occupancy index of 98.2%, ADR index of 136.1%, and RevPAR index of 133.7%. In actual numbers for the month of June [technical difficulty] translates to an actual occupancy of 91.1%, ADR of $337 and RevPAR of $307. According to the Hawaii Tourism Authority, arrivals to the Hawaiian Islands in May grew 9.3% to 709,000 visitors with higher average daily spending increasing 2.4% to $198 per person. Total visitor expenditures increased 10.4% to $1.2 billion. Arrivals to Oahu specifically increased 7.5%, it is comprised of 11.7% more arrivals from U.S. west and U.S. east increasing 5.2%. And Japan increasing 3.6% but fewer from Canada which was down approximately 22% compared to May 2014. Higher daily visitor spending was up 4.6% to $208 per person on Oahu, where the Embassy Suites Hotel resides. Scheduled seats from U.S. west increased 12.4% and scheduled seats from U.S. east rose 14%. Scheduled seats from Japan declined 5.4% due to the discontinuation of Hawaiian’s air-flight from Fukuoka last July, somewhat offset by increased seats from Osaka and Sapporo. Canada increased 31.8% with more seats from Vancouver to Honolulu. Oceana grew 23% with nearly double the seats from Brisbane. For the China market, there was an 18% drop in seats out of Shanghai which offset more seats out of Beijing, which was up 7.7%. Taipei grew 12.5% and Seoul Korea was down. As you can see, we are continually following the scheduled seats, arrivals and visitor spending statistics. Our marketing department with our Embassy Suites Hotel focuses on marketing efforts and dollars where it will be most impactful to the global markets that we serve. Even our Waikiki Embassy Suites website is in different languages catering to our guests in varying global markets. Transitioning to acquisitions, our acquisition efforts remain in full swing however the pricing of assets equal to or greater in quality than our existing portfolio generally provide returns of unacceptably low levels. Disciplined investing is a core metric at American Assets Trust. Nonetheless we continue to evaluate growth opportunities and recycling capital where the probability to increase net asset value and internal growth exists. Let’s move to our financial perspective. Last night we reported second quarter 2015 FFO of $0.44 per share. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $0.20 per share for the second quarter. The company’s Board of Directors have declared dividend on its common stock of $0.2325 per share for the quarterly period ending September 30, 2015. American Assets had a solid second quarter performance. Our high quality coastal West Coast diversified strategy continues to have stellar performance. Our retail portfolio ended the quarter with 98.5% occupancy combined with the highest annualized base rents amongst our peers. That represents less than 50,000 square feet of vacancy in the 3 million plus square-foot portfolio. Our office portfolio ended the quarter at approximately 92.9% occupancy up 440 basis points on a year-over-year basis. Our same-store office portfolio occupancy is now approximately 97% leased. Let’s talk about City Center Bellevue for a moment. This is a 495,000 square-foot Class A office tower in the central business district of Bellevue, Washington that we acquired in August 2012. And it’s adjacent to a transit center. It has been a top-performer and we have grown the in-levered cash flows significantly north of 20% since we acquired it. And the in-place weighted average rents are approximately 15% below market. Some of you have asked about the impact of Expedia’s announcement with - that Expedia will purchase and relocate to the Amgen Campus in Seattle creating a future 490,000 square-foot Downtown Bellevue vacancy which is comprised of 380,000 square-foot in Tower 333 and 110,000 square feet in Skyline Tower. A couple of comments. Number one, our view of this announcement that came out in the first quarter comes at a time when the regional economy continues its strong expansion and the Downtown Bellevue vacancy is at a very healthy 8.4%. Number two, the Expedia lease expires in November 2018 which is two years after final deliveries of the CBD buildings currently under construction. Third, the Eastside market where Bellevue Washington is located tends to benefit from companies that prefer more stable, mature workforce that typically values better public schools and housing opportunities for their families. Whereas, Seattle tends to attract companies that wish to hire biennials who tend to value the more urban lifestyle that Seattle offers. According to a recent forecast from the Broderick Group that provides commercial real-estate services for the Seattle and Bellevue office markets, they project the vacancy rate for 2015 to remain at 8%, 2016 to end at approximately 16%, 2017 at approximately 13%, 2018 at approximately 13% and then getting back to 8.6% in 2019. These projections take into consideration approximately 1.5 million square feet of new development expected to be completed by the end of 2016, less pre-leasing requirements for these developments and factoring in Microsoft sub-leasing approximately 167,000 square feet at the Bravern, and the historical absorption over the last decade of approximately 280,000 square feet annually. Fifth, the takeaway for us is that we expect to see some softening in the market towards the end of 2016 and into ‘17 and ‘18. As I mentioned earlier, our building is that Main & Main in the Downtown CBD, and adjacent to a transit center. And our current in-place rents are approximately 15% below market. Our bases will be much lower than the new developments coming out of the ground. So we will be able to be competitive on rate and still maintain our strong operating margins in a Class A building and operating environment. One thing is for certain, there are cycles in real-estate and we have all learned from our existing portfolio that when you have high quality assets in desired locations, your cash flows are generally stable and either flat to up to real-estate cycles. I hope this has helped answer your questions you may have had. Let’s move on and talk about same-store NOI for a moment. Same-store retail cash NOI significantly increased in the second quarter to 6.9%. The increase was mostly attributable to a full quarter of rents from Saks OFF 5th Avenue and Carmel Mountain Plaza in San Diego, HomeGoods at our Lomas Santa Fe Shopping Center in San Diego, and then several other tenants in our Waikele Regional Retail Shopping Center on the island of Oahu in Hawaii. We are reaffirming our 2015 same-store guidance of 5% for the retail portfolio. Our retail cash leasing spreads signed during the quarter were up 19% and are up 11.7% over the last four trailing quarters. We executed 17 leases for approximately 67,000 square feet which is approximately 2% of our retail portfolio. Same-store office NOI was up 6.7% in the second quarter. Same-store office growth in the second quarter was due to a new lease with VMWare at City Center Bellevue and significant contractual rent bumps at both our City Center, Bellevue building in Bellevue, Washington and our Landmark building in San Francisco. Our office portfolio continues to outperform and we have increased our 2015 same-store growth forecast to 9% for the office portfolio from the previously disclosed 8% for the office portfolio. The increase in the same-store forecast is due to lower than anticipating operating expenses in the second quarter and non-recurring income at First & Main related to camp settlement which we expect to collect in the third quarter. We continue to see significant market rent growth across our office portfolio in all our core markets. Current in-place office rents were still approximately 15% below market, indicating we still have significant internal growth in our office portfolio. Our office cash re-leasing spreads during the quarter were up an astonishing 40% and are up 26% over the last four trailing quarters. The significantly higher cash leasing spreads were a result of a lease renewal at our Landmark One Market property in San Francisco. This building’s in-place rents are still approximately 30% below market. Same-store multifamily NOI which comprises approximately 7% of our total NOI was up 5.5% on a cash basis for the second quarter. Higher rents are the main drivers of the same-store growth for the multifamily portfolio. Average monthly rents on a year-over-year basis are up over 7% at Loma Palisades, our largest multifamily property in San Diego. We continue to be pleased with the execution and direction of our multifamily portfolio. We have maintained our 2015 same-store forecast of 3% for the multifamily portfolio. Waikiki Beach Walk, our mixed use property, which represents approximately 13%, of our NOI reported same-store cash NOI growth of 26.6% in the second quarter. Same-store comparables for the second quarter were significantly higher due to the room refresh in the comparable period which took approximately 20% of the available room offline. Due to better than anticipated operating results in the second quarter, we are increasing our 2015 same-store forecast for the mixed used asset to 9.5% from our previously issued same-store guidance of 7.7%. We expect the same-store comparables for the fourth quarter of 2015 to be significantly higher as that quarter was also impacted by the room refresh in 2014. Turning to our results, second quarter FFO increased $0.44 per FFO share due mostly to the following items. Interest expense was reduced in the current quarter increasing FFO by $0.01. The decrease in interest expense was due to lower cost of debt from the private placement notes 4.5%, which refinanced the higher rate CMVS debt for Landmark at One Market which was at 5.6% and which matured early in the second quarter. Now as we look at our balance sheet and liquidity at the end of the second quarter we had approximately $255 million in liquidity comprised $35 million of cash and cash equivalents and $220 million of availability on our line of credit. Our leverage at the end of Q2 remains low at 30.2%, total debt to total capitalization on a net debt to EBITDA 6.6 times which we would like to see reduced to 5-handle overtime. Our interest coverage and fixed charge coverage ratio ended the quarter at 3.1 times. As disclosed in our press release on July 6, we have obtained investment grade credit ratings from Fitch, Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s. The company was assigned a BBB flat rating from Fitch ratings, a BAA-3 rating from Moody’s Investor Service and BBB minus rating from Standard & Poor’s Rating Services. All three credit ratings have a stable outlook. Since our IPO, it has been one of our objectives to obtain investment grade ratings from each of Fitch, Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s, which we believe are reflection of the quality of our portfolio, the strength of our balance sheet and our operational and investment discipline. It is our expectation that utilizing the investment grade unsecured debt market will ultimately become a core component of our future financing needs. Lastly, we have increased our 2015 full year guidance range to $1.73 to a range of $1.73 to $1.77 with a midpoint of $1.75 from the previously guidance range of $1.70 to $1.75 with the midpoint of $1.725. The increase in guidance range is due to better than anticipating operating results in the second quarter, higher forecasted capitalized interest and non-recurring income. For those updating those models for the lease-up of Hassalo on Eight our 2015 annual guidance includes the following. Number one, Hassalo is forecasted to be 33% leased and 18.5% occupied on a weighted average basis for the entire Hassalo residential portfolio as of Q3, with only the Velomor building open. The remaining two buildings are expected to open in early October. As I mentioned earlier, as of yesterday, we were 24% leased for the entire Hassalo Apartment project. Secondly, our year-end target for 2015 guidance purposes remains unchanged at being 60% leased with the year-end occupancy of approximately 47% on a weighted average basis for the entire Hassalo residential portfolio as of Q4. Thirdly, the total reported interest expense in the third quarter is expected to increase slightly to approximately $11.4 million and then increase again in the fourth quarter by approximately $1.7 million to $13.1 million. The increases relate to the reduction in capitalized interest from quarter-to-quarter as the Hassalo development is completed and comes online into operations. And fourth, from a cash NOI perspective, we anticipate Hassalo will have approximately $350,000 loss in the third quarter and a small $150,000 loss in the fourth quarter as we sign more leases in all three of the Hassalo apartment buildings. For comparability our 2015 guidance midpoint of $1.75 is up $0.13 over our 2014 FFO per share of $1.62, representing an increase in FFO of approximately 8%. Excluding the $0.03 of non-recurring termination fees received to 2014, the 2015 FFO growth per share is up approximately 10% on a more comparable basis. We are well prepared with a strong balance sheet to capitalize and execute on the opportunities that we believe will present themselves over the coming quarters. Operator I’ll now turn the call over to you for questions.