Derek Kerr
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Great. Thanks, Doug and good morning, everyone. We did file our second quarter 2015 10-Q, along with our press release this morning. And in that earnings release, as Doug said, we reported the highest quarterly profit in the company's history. The second quarter was a net profit, excluding net special charges of $1.9 billion or $2.62 per diluted share, and this represents a $398 million improvement versus our second quarter of 2014, net profit excluding net special charges of a $1.5 billion or $1.98 per diluted share. Our second quarter 2015 pretax margin, excluding net special charges was a record 17.2%, up 4.4 points year-over-year. On a GAAP basis we reported a record second quarter net profit of $1.7 billion or $2.41 per diluted share, and this compares to a net profit of $864 million or $1.17 per diluted share in the same period last year. In the second quarter of 2015, we continued to invest in the airline by taking delivery of 24 mainline aircraft, and retiring 34 mainline aircraft. On the regional side we took delivery of nine aircraft and we removed from service and parked eight aircraft. Throughout the next few years we will continue our extensive fleet renewal program that has made American's fleet the youngest of any of the U.S. network airlines. During the remainder of the year, we expect to take delivery of 31 mainline aircraft and 29 regional aircraft, while retiring or parking 53 mainline aircraft and 22 regional aircraft. Total capacity for the second quarter was 69.4 billion ASMs, up 1.9% for the same period in 2014. Mainline capacity for the quarter was 61.9 billion ASMs, up 1.5%, while regional for the quarter was up 5.5% to 7.48 billion ASMs, due primarily to larger gauge aircraft, longer stage length, offset by fewer departures. Second quarter 2015 revenue was negatively impacted by large capacity increases in certain domestic and international segments, a strong U.S. dollar, and continued economic softness in Latin America. For the quarter, total operating revenues were $10.8 billion, down 4.6% from the same period last year. Passenger revenues were $9.4 billion, down 5.1%. Yields were down 6.1% on a 1.9% increase in system capacity. Cargo revenues were down 12.3% to $194 million, due primarily to lower international yields, and other operating revenues were $1.2 billion, up 0.4% year-over-year. Total RASM in the second quarter of 2015 was $0.156, down 6.4% for the same period last year. This decrease was driven principally by a decline in passenger RASM, which was $0.1357, down 6.9%, and Scott will give more details on that in his talk. The airlines operating expenses, excluding net special charges for the second quarter of 2015 were $8.8 billion, down 9.8% year-over-year, primarily due to a 37% decrease in consolidated fuel expense. We remain unhedged and our financial results continue to see a material financial benefit from the significant year-over-year decline in crude oil prices. Our average mainline fuel price including taxes for the second quarter was 1.9 -- a $1.90 per gallon, a 37% decline versus $3.02 per gallon in the second quarter of last year. Lower fuel prices drove 11.8% decline in mainline operating costs per ASM, excluding net special charges to $0.1164. Excluding net special charges in fuel, our mainline cost per ASM was $0.0877 in the second quarter, up 2.5% year-over-year. This increase is due primarily to higher salaries and benefit costs associated with our recent labor contracts, which increased our second quarter mainline CASM, excluding special charges and fuel by approximately 3.5 percentage points. These higher labor costs are reflected in our guidance for the remainder of the year. Regional operating cost per ASM, excluding net special charges was $0.1602 for the second quarter of 2015, an increase of 1.4%. So excluding net special charges and fuel, our consolidated second quarter CASM was up 2.6% year-over-year. We ended the second quarter with $9.7 billion in total cash and investments. Of this $747 million was restricted, and $629 million was held in Venezuela bolivars. The company also has an undrawn revolving credit facility of $1.8 billion, bringing our total unrestricted liquidity to $10.7 billion. During the second quarter the company refinanced each of its secured term loan facilities at lower interest rates while improving collateral terms. In addition, the company also extended the maturity of its $1.9 billion term loan facility by one year to June 2020. Subsequently, both credit facilities received a 25 point -- basis point reduction in interest rate due to the company's improved credit ratings from S&P and Moody's. During the second quarter of 2015 we generated $2.3 billion in cash flow from operations, and paid down $361 million in debt. The company returned $823 million to its shareholders through the payment of $70 million in quarterly dividends, and the repurchase of $753 million of common stock or 17.3 million shares at an average price of $43.53 per share. When combined with the dividends and shares repurchased during the first quarter, the company has returned approximately $1.1 billion to its shareholders in the first half of 2015. And since the merger closed we have returned approximately $3 billion to our shareholders. Based on the company's strong financial performance, its projected cash flow, and the repurchase activity to date, the American Airlines Group, Board of Directors has authorized an additional $2 billion share repurchase program to be completed by December 31, 2016. This brings the total amount of share repurchase programs authorized in 2015 to $4 billion. The company's Board of Directors has also declared a $0.10 per share dividend to be paid on August 24, 2015 to shareholders of record as of August 10, 2015. Turning now to our guidance for the remainder of the year, in our last IR update provided on July 10th, we lowered our full year overall system capacity growth and are now forecasting it to be up approximately 1%, resulting in full year domestic capacity growth of approximately 1% to 2% in 2015, while international capacity is expected to be up approximately 1%. For the back half of 2015 mainline capacity and ASMs break down in the quarter’s as follows; 63.6 billion in the third, 58.1 billion in the fourth. Regional capacity is 7.66 billion in the third, and 7.70 billion in the fourth. For the full year 2015, we are forecasting year-over-year total CASM, ex-special items and fuel to be up approximately 4% to 6%. The increase is driven primarily by the new labor contracts covering our pilots and flight attendants, and costs dedicated to improving the reliability of our operation. Mainline CASM, excluding special items and fuel is projected to be up approximately 4% to 6%, while regional CASM excluding special items and fuel is projected to be approximately flat to up 2%. Mainline CASM in the third quarter is projected to be up 3% to 5%, and in the fourth quarter, up 6% to 8%. And on the regional side, at the third quarter up 2% to 4%, and the fourth quarter approximately flat. As I mentioned in my earlier comments we continue to see a substantial financial benefit as a result of lower crude oil prices. Using the July 20, 2015 fuel curve we are forecasting our consolidated fuel price to be in the range of $1.78 to $1.83 per gallon. Based on these prices, we expect our 2015 consolidated fuel expense to improve by approximately $4.8 billion year-over-year. Mainline fuel in the third quarter expected to be $1.73 to $1.78, and in the fourth quarter, $1.71 to $1.76; regional fuel price in the third quarter at $1.75 to $1.80; and in the fourth, $1.73 to $1.78. Using the midpoints of the guidance we have provided, along with the PRASM guidance that Scott will give, we expect to continue the momentum with a record third quarter pretax margin excluding special items of between16% to 18%. For the remainder of 2015 we continue to expect a large increase in operating cash flow versus 2014. As the second half of 2015 progresses our focus will continue to be toward completing our integration, investing in the airline by renewing our fleet, improving our operational performance, and returning excess cash to shareholders. In terms of capital expenditures we are now forecasting total gross aircraft CapEx to be approximately $5.4 billion in 2015, of which approximately $2.5 billion will occur in the second half of the year. In addition, we continue to expect to invest $1 billion for non-aircraft [ph] CapEx which includes many investments to improve our product, and we also will make $1.8 billion in debt repayments throughout the year. In conclusion, we are very pleased to report the highest quarterly profit in the company's history, and I would like to thank our more than 100,000 team members for making these results possible. With that, I will turn it over to Scott.